China's Occupation of Taiwan in 2027

China has a 5 year window to act in the West Pacific while the United States Navy reorganizes.

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[_R-R]

One aspect that a lot of people overlook, is that while we have to focus our fleet globally, China doesn't have to. They can focus their entire navy in the Pacific.

[spencergoodwater]

As a Midshipman who just picked up a SWO contract, I am very sad they’re getting rid of a lot of surface ships 😢

[DazzleCamo]

The Ocean Valor bit especially is eerily reminiscent of the fleet oiler situation on the eve of Pearl harbor. Don't worry, well have faster support ships in time... Oh.... They started early...

[loganmcinnis]

I can only imagine that China is quite pleased by all of this. They're probably thinking, "never interrupt an enemy when they're making a mistake."

[kevrev]

Slight correction at 2:19: so the ROC rules these islands, but strictly speaking, they don't even claim these islands as part of Taiwain (Taiwan province). The ROC actually considers them part of Fujian province, as part of their still ongoing claim to all of China (after all, they were the government that overthrew the Qing Dynasty). Great video though!

[ALRinaldi]

I guess you don’t have to worry about hypersonic missle defense if you don’t have the ships in the first place…

[kapitankapital]

While it's definitely worth considering, I think we should remember to contextualise the Davidson Window. It's very US-centric, which is understandable within its context as a guidance for US naval policy, but we should remember that China isn't going to be making their geopolitical decisions based purely on US naval abilities. Would it be a consideration? Probably. But I doubt China will set their timeline by it. For one, if previous Chinese strategy is anything to go by, they will try to achieve their aims without going to war with the US, and so how strong the US Navy is won't really matter.

Yes, the Davidson Window is important for US policy makers, but as independent observers we should be careful not to put too much emphasis on it. The Davidson Window should be considered the worst time for an invasion for America, not the best time for an invasion for China.

[jamesmterrell]

Great brief. Sobering. We need even more of everything, obviously.
I suggest you take a look at the 'What's Going On With Shipping' channel. There are discussions regarding the dismal situation with the MSC and merchant marine capabilities. This was highlighted during the latest RIMPAC exercise.
I wouldn't be surprised to find that changes to the Arliegh Burke Flight III's to add spaces, equipment, berthing, etc. To enable them to function as cruisers. Since the CONGs in DC have decided we can't afford cruisers anymore we need the destroyers to be able to serve as DESRON commanders and take on some cruiser functions.
Keep doing what you are doing.

[mther_braned]

Sudden invasion in Europe? Potential war in the Pacific? Starting to sound familiar...

[solidsaladin]

China so far is only planning to build 16 type 055 destroyers in total. The situation is dire but I believe we are still good to go. Japan also has 8 Aegis ships and will probably have several more by 2027.

[ArticleSection]

i dont like china, but taiwan IS china....

[paperburn]

Simple solution, advanced high speed PT boat systems. four torpedo's and a Phalanx CIWS

[sebastianriemer]

Why does the world ignore this?
Imagine a German chancellor giving a speach where he promises to bring prussia or alsace back to Germany.

[growingwealth]

This video deserves way more views. Considering the subject matter.

[John-mjri]

Hey mate I'm Australian and I am not any person with much knowledge on all off this but I just think this is nuts what is happening, seems the western world is setting themselves up for failure... It just boggles my mind, I just can't understand all the throught processes behind all of this.

[mrvwbug]

As a stopgap for the VLS underway reload solution they should look into retrofitting those cranes onto existing fleet support and logistics ships. Gaining that capability for most of our forward deployed fleets would be a huge advantage. As far as I know China and Russia do not have that capability (supposedly Russian Slava class CGs can reload their S300s from below deck but not their ASMs, but 1/3rd of their Slava class capacity was recently promoted to submarine by the Ukranians)

[A_Haunted_Pancake]

One of the toughest things to predict in this one, must be the size of the Battlefield
- Specially if things draw out.
Probably also the thing, that scares Decisionmakers on all sides the most.

[Jalu]

Sign a MDT with the RoC, and as soon as ink is put to paper, have a Brigade Combat Team landing at Taipei International. It's the only way to keep the RoC from being consumed by the CCP.

[juno]

Where did we see this before and why do I have a bad feeling.

[PQRavik]

Good analysis as always, but you overlooked the role the US air force could have in any conflict. B52's and B1's, operating from mainland US, could disrupt any Chinese amphibious operation using cruise missiles that keep them outside easy intercept range.