Allan Lichtman: 'A lot has to go wrong' for Harris to lose: Esteemed election forecaster | Cuomo

Under Allan Lichtman’s “keys” model, Democrats would have to lose three more keys in order for him to predict a Kamala Harris loss. But he says that’s not likely to happen. Lichtman, a highly regarded history professor at American University who boasts a 90% accuracy record in predicting presidential election outcomes, joins "CUOMO" to discuss.

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[rdybrn]

He seems rattled and unsure. The keys don't account for an incumbent president pushed to drop out and a candidate almost getting his head blown off. I think this will be a coin flip for him.

[vonkunstler]

I predict Lichtman will go with Harris and this will be his first incorrect prediction

[thomashowe]

So this guy said replacing Biden would guarantee a trump win. So now Harris would struggle to lose? This guy has changed tact so many times his credibility is non existent

[hikercat]

Lichtman is the same guy who was denying that Biden is on a cognitive decline.

[brandogg]

This is the same guy who said replacing Biden would guarantee a Trump win.

[daniellevy]

Some of this is a little
biased, I don’t understand how Trump
is not considered a “charismatic challenge.” that’s ridiculous

[catsrule]

How do we not see Kamala and Biden meeting with multiple prosecutors of their political opponent, trump, not a scandal? Inflation is high, that’s another 2 keys, short term long term economy

[brettjaasund]

They're doing it again... overestimating their candidate, just like they did with Hillary. LOL

[twistedarm]

She may have the keys, but she doesn't have the balls to win. She is not the type of leader to bring our country together, division is her specialty.

[DanDomski]

Notice he kept saying until after the DNC?

[obendouglas]

Harris 2024. I am an independent voting blue.

[Sean-gtvv]

This coming from the same guy who said that even having Harris in the race would be a losing gambit for the dems 😂 We really shouldn’t be listening to him at all

[rd]

What planet is this guy on? A LOT has already gone wrong.

[MrFafman]

All models are right until they're wrong.

[punkypinko]

"A lot would have to go wrong for Harris to lose ..." Have you been paying attention?

[FranciscoGonzalez-ihgl]

💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙

💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙
All Democrats, Independents and all disaffected Republicans to be together and make THE BLUE TSUNAMI.

💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙
💙 That's our job on November 2024 💙
💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙

[Joshg]

Why doesn’t he consider the Afghanistan withdrawal a foreign/military failure?

[kimoandrews]

Lichtman told us that only Biden could win and that replacing him was foolhardy. He has little credibility.

[TimKozlowski-bptg]

How many times is this guy going to change his story

[thomasschmidt]

Don't forget the dislike for Trump Key.