Trump vs Harris: Historian Allan Lichtman predicted 9 of 10 elections with 'keys'

The "Keys to the White House" are currently favoring Vice President Kamala Harris in a hypothetical 2024 matchup against former President Trump, but a final prediction for the 2024 race is yet to be made.

Allan Lichtman, an election forecaster who has correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984, developed a formula that is used to make predictions about an upcoming presidential election – and in most cases, it proves to be right.

Lichtman's "Keys to the White House" consists of 13 true or false questions that he believes establish a strong indication of who will be named the victor on the fall ballot. Each question is asked about the two dueling nominees; if "true" they are given a "key," and if "false," their competitor receives the point. Then, if one party's candidate receives six or more keys, they are the predicted winner.

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[harryfox]

I live in New Jersey. My property taxes went up $1400 this year and then another $1400 next year. Thanks, Governor Murphy. Tell me how the Democrats care about the working class. I guess someone has to pay for all the illegals.

[defenderoFreedom]

In other words, 13 minutes for him to say basically he doesn't know yet 😂

[duenpuen]

Im voting for lower fuel prices and the mental insanity to end.

[sonnyirish]

He did not predict Biden being forced out.

[spinetickspressing]

It's like the Titanic sinking, they jump on any boat in sight.

[stevenlaake]

No recession???
Who buys his stuff for him.

[Twinhit]

Whatever happened to "It's the economy, stupid!"

[nolitomanugo]

Your 13 Keys might be reliable but your biased interpretation is not👍

[uaeio]

Pullout from Afghanistan was military failure … another key falls

[TroyMckay-lnjs]

I don't have keys, i run numbers in electoral maps, harris 220, Trump 340. It's over .

[raec.]

The guy wants to sell books ! That’s all folks! Vote for lower tax and better economy, safety, free speech, and no more wars . Please let’s toughen up!

[francessimon]

He said Trump would win if Biden stepped down

[curthennig]

Did this guy get his hair at a Trump gift shop?

[BornTheDragon]

Are you kidding? A lot has already gone wrong for Dems. What is he smoking

[anticom]

The electronic voting machine keys are really the only keys that matter.

[KADoodlez]

She loses economy he didn't mention that one.. so that's four "keys". And aren't some of these keys kinda opinion. How much social unrest do you need? The pro Palestine protests is social unrest is it not? That's five keys. And like I seen her in the comments no way Afghanistan can be called a military victory so that's 6 keys. Bam 🇺🇸🎆Trump/Vance🎆🇺🇸

[MyLifeInVideos]

Remember guys in 2016 they would have Yu believe Clinton was winning right up until trump was the winner so vote vote vote TRUMP

[rexblade]

His keys might be accurate, the problem is he has an extreme bias and is very partisan, so he may not flip the keys accurately which is the major flaw in his system. So I wouldn't blindly trust his keys.

[susanstuart]

What is he saying that there is no big social unrest right now? We have social unrest all over or protests that have turned ugly: burning the American flag, etc...

[doriszelaya]

The only guy with all the keys is Donald Trump- let me tell you why I believe this is true- the Bible declares in Isaiah also in Revelation about the Key of David- what does this key do? It gives power, authority, or office to the bearer of this key - moreover in Mathew 16:19, it was declare the keys of heaven to be given- these keys have the power to open and shot the doors of destiny, to bind and loose things to accomplish the will of God! This is significant because the only person in this race who has acknowledged God in their pursue of the highest office in this our land is Donal J Trump👊🏼and his VP alongside him, so I predict this is the bottom line, we the people will push our nominees to the triumphant win this November in honor of God who reins on Hight, let’s keep that in mind and act accordingly- this is out time- like queen Esther who save her kin, now is our turn to saved per own for such as time as this …. I believe, I pray 🙏 ❤️🇺🇸🗳️🎉a for solid victory ✌️