Biden to defeat Trump in election 2024 | Allan Lichtman

“A lot of things would have to go wrong over the next several months to predict a Biden defeat.”

There’s a possibility “Trump could be elected, but it's out of Trump's hands”, says Professor Allan Lichtman, who has successfully predicted the winner of each presidential race since 1984.

[saiyanofsteel]

Don’t take anything for granted!

Get out and vote in November!

[ianworthington]

Lichtman: "I won't make a prediction now because then all the headlines will be that I've made a decision". Times: "Lichtman has made a decision."

[most]

“Everyone asks me that I I won’t answer it because everyone would say Lichtman’s made his prediction!”

[jackdelph]

This video title is unfair to Lippmann. He specifically stated he does not want it to be said he has made a prediction, yet this title suggests that he has.

[PresidentBarackbar]

I studied under Allan Lichtman when I was getting my Master's degree and I found his insights really incredible. He told the story of how Nate Silver criticized him for his early prediction that Obama would win in 2012 because there "wasn't any data to analyze." After the election when Obama did indeed win, he offered to co-author an article with him talking about how both of them with very different methods, came to the same conclusion. Nate never responded.

[skyrimwarrior]

Allan stated he will make the prediction in end of July 2024.
He needs time to make sure he will know who will win the 2024.
Not by the poll’s or the popular vote or prediction by networks.
But by his 13 key’s to the White House.

[jewellian]

For a history professor I'm impressed of his psychological insights of American politics

[jugoolick]

Lady, get it through your head! This is his system of prediction, CAMPAIGNS do NOT matter. 🙄

[mango]

Here in Europe there is great fear of what Trump will do on NATO, and Ukraine. BTW, this man was one of very few to correctly predict Trump would win in 2016.

[alexsie]

I guess Lichtman doesn’t think Jim Comey’s reopening of the email inquiry had any impact on Clinton’s campaign. A lot of people would disagree with that.

[yowzephyr]

Allan Lichtman looks pretty good for a guy age 76, doesn't he?

[verenmercer]

A sane old man?
A demented old man?
Whatever you choose, America...
You DESERVE IT because you CHOSE IT!

[suomalainenvoima]

No longer. If we are using Lichtman’s logic, Trump now has a higher chance of winning it seems.

[OptimisticHominid]

I don't know if Allan will be proven correct, but I feel a little better after hearing what he had to say.

[ovilnbs]

Messaging from London UK, the feelings across here and the vast majority of the thinking world it would be catastrophic on many levels for yet another would be destroyer of democracy to be elected back in.
The only hope is for moderation to prevail.

[rossjennings]

This man is incredibly confident in his system. Still, even if it's not this time, sooner or later, I suspect he'll be wrong. No one is infallible when it comes to this stuff. On the other hand, I wish they hadn't titled this video to make it look like he had made a firm prediction, when he made it clear that hadn't committed to one yet. I don't imagine he's very happy about that.

[scarbo]

Haha, President Trump’s second term will be historic.

[adrianlang]

I like this guy.

He is not swayed at all.

[philstanton]

I certainly hope so, but get out and vote blue 💙 people 💙 or suffer the consequences

[Jesse]

I'm a Dem, and was lukewarm on Biden during the 2020 primaries, but from the time he took office to now, I like him more and more; for tangible reason (handling Covid, the infrastructure bills, handling of the economy, union support, etc.) and am an enthusiastic supporter in 2024. I'm not voting Biden/Harris in the election because they are not Trump -- as was the case for many in 2020; and I don't think I'm alone in this.