Presidential predictor Allan Lichtman uses 13 ‘Keys to the White House’ tracker on 2024 election

Presidential election predictor Allan Lichtman, who has predicted the winner of nearly every U.S. presidential race since 1984 using his 13 ‘Keys to the White House’ method, says the 2024 race is too early to call, but that a lot would have to go wrong for one candidate to lose.

FOX 5's Good Day DC team breaks down the latest local, regional and national news, along with information on business, entertainment, sports, weather, traffic and more!

---------------------------------------------------------------------
STAY CONNECTED AND STAY AHEAD WITH FOX 5 DC



FOX 5 DC, WTTG-TV and FOX 5 PLUS, WDCA-TV are owned-and-operated TV stations of the Fox Broadcasting Company. We are located in Washington, D.C. and serves the entire Washington metropolitan area (including Northern Virginia, Maryland, and the Martinsburg, West Virginia area). Our studio is based in Bethesda, Maryland.

[stacyliddell]

I think there is a problem in the system. Has it ever been used to predict a presidentential race between a former president and an incumbent?

[malachigruenhagen]

What about the economy? While I realize that some of the "official" indicators are not bad, the perception on the street is more negative.

[scrubadubduck]

Alan Lichtman has a youtube channel where he answers questions for free and for fee yall ... it's worth it, 100% accuracy for 40 years is alot of wisdom

[leongtan]

I was hoping to see comments on keys#10 & #11.
These keys are mutually exclusive. Only one can hold at any one instance.
Shouldn't there be only 12 keys and not 13?

[jwchamberlain]

Don't go by what this dude says or the polls. Some of the elections were easy to predict anyway. Just remember to vote on Tuesday 05 NOV for the candidate you choose.

[amacyrico]

This guy is bias. I think the foreign policy key fell a long time ago.

[mayen]

The only problem with these 13 keys is that they were made before the Internet. Social media and how people access the news has to have an effect that was not factored in when these 13 keys were made.

[kamilebrahimoff]

Thank you,
Allan Lichtman for your information.

[KoolT]

Wow you don't live in our neighborhood. 😮

[johnking]

Foreign policy isn't "shaky" it's non-existent.

[vernielcutar]

Just curious, which election did he fail to predict correctly? Was it Trump vs Clinton?

[meknowufindout]

So can anyone explain what determines these 3 keys to be false and give examples

1) Social unrest
2) Military / Foreign affairs failures
3) Military/ Foreign success

1) I say the palestein college protests would make social unrest false, but I can’t say if Alan would agree

3) I know for success you have to do something like Bush did capture Saddam Hussein or Barrack Obama did in getting Obama bin Landin

[lbcee]

elementary...Allan said he did not make the prediction yet...all the keys in the hand of his 6th grader....

[jodeylosey]

Not voting for a party that's afraid of cow fart's.

[kenccwong]

I hope I am wrong. I am not optimistic about Biden.

[minikimbo]

He has NOT correctly predicted every race since 1984. He was wrong once (still a great record-better than mine for sure). He did pick Gore over Bush.

[scottclemens]

“Where do “we”, the democrats stand right now.

[bygvflh]

you should add age as an element. Old people can not become younger but become older This is reality