Presidential predictor Allan Lichtman discusses what's next after Biden drops out of presidential ra

Presidential election predictor Allan Lichtman, who has predicted the winner of nearly every U.S. presidential race since 1984 using his 13 "Keys to the White House" method joined LiveNow to discuss what he thinks will come next following President Joe Biden's abrupt departure from the 2024 presidential race and his decision to endorse Vice President Kamala Harris.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
STAY CONNECTED AND STAY AHEAD WITH FOX 5 DC



FOX 5 DC, WTTG-TV and FOX 5 PLUS, WDCA-TV are owned-and-operated TV stations of the Fox Broadcasting Company. We are located in Washington, D.C. and serves the entire Washington metropolitan area (including Northern Virginia, Maryland, and the Martinsburg, West Virginia area). Our studio is based in Bethesda, Maryland.

[RWT]

I love how all these people in the comments are acting as if they know more than Lichtman who's an expert on this matter. Just because he isn't predicting your favourite doesn't mean he's wrong. If he said trump was going to win all the republican would be saying he's a genius and we are stupid for not listening to him.

[Calakapepe]

One thing is probably tru though... Allan can predict he'll keep getting paid to show up on these news stations 😅

[garywarrick]

Your ratings will go up whenever you have Allan on your show!

[StephanReed]

I won’t say which side of the aisle I’m on, but I will express my appreciation for this explanation. I literally just googled his name, found this video & had it all laid out in 10 good minutes.

[wingeddragonra]

Allan Lichtman’s 10 out of 10 is unbelievable track record.

[GeovannyVicenteRomero]

The media acting like they didn't see this coming is the funniest part.

[hondaopportunity]

There is also the theory of the pendulum. The pendulum needs to shift to the other side, you can hold it as much as you want, but it will always shift. My key gives the election to Trump!

[decarlolopez]

"2000 was a stolen election!" Nice! He's good! 🎯

[hebronharvester]

I know Allan Lichtman's track record and I'm not denying it, but I would not buy into his prediction 100%. First of all, let's be clear. He mentioned in his book his system votes according to the popular vote, so pick or choose: he was wrong once in either 2000 or 2016. He still has a great track record, but his system isn't 100% accurate, and I believe this cycle it's going to be tested even more.

You still have to go out and vote and honestly, he has become very biased in how he predicts the elections. He also has taken credit for 2000 or 2016 when one of those times he was wrong (most people say he was wrong in 2000, but in his book he predicts the election based off popular vote, which would make him wrong in 2016 and not 2000). In any case, you can increasingly see his bias interpreting many of these so-called "keys." On top of this being a very different election cycle (Trump does that in the last three), I'd be subject to buy into his prediction 100%.

These are keys I would contest:
-it's the first time in a long time a president is running for nonconsecutive terms. Trump is popular enough to run again
-a sitting president stepped down, throwing the "contest" key into question completely. Harris has the delegates, but she didn't go through an elected process. Not sure I can give her credit for that one
-a former president was nearly assassinated and this drew some popularity toward Trump. This may or may not mean anything, but it's worth noting.
-the interpretation of the keys differ greatly based on political alignment. Look at the "economy" key. Ask any neighbor in a purple state how they feel about the economy and they'll give you different answers. Lichtman is confident Biden's economy was great for all people, so he gives that to Harris. Lichtman is clearly blue in his interpretation of the keys.
-the election is based off false "charisma." Most people either like Trump or hate him, so that key isn't exactly clear and the Democrat candidate is only likable because they're not Trump. People try to use race as an example of "charisma." I wouldn't give charisma to either candidate, but there are strong Trump supporters who give him "charisma" so it's completely debatable.
-The scandal key is even in question. Whether you support Harris or not, she was elected by voters. They basically endorsed her and she got the delegates without winning a single state. It was scandal enough that they forced Biden out of office and weren't truthful about his cognitive decline. I'd question the "scandal" key, but they're trying to hide like this isn't a problem
-Trump is an outsider candidate and always has been. I think he is a wild card himself

Lichtman's process will be the same, but the amount of subjectivity in this cycle will make it very challenging to predict. You can't even make something like "economy" objective.

[ZenithWest]

Wasn't Afghanistan withdrawal a "major military failure" for incumbent administration?

[hopehoen]

Our Lord Jesus appoints and allows or disallows governments. His will is done. We need to pray for our country.

[YogaBlissDance]

Teh newscaster did not appear to be listening.

[cherylerome-beatty]

And no one has run against a candidate like Trump except for 2016.

[Resurrected-Silverbeard]

Harris had 1% approval rating when she dropped out of her last presidential campaign.
* Take a look at the conversation she had with Tulsi Gabbard.

[chrispeterson]

Lyndon Johnson would say:

If Democrats don't support Harris,
blacks will vote Republican for the next 200 Years.

[daviddean]

How many keys go against 10/10 predictions besides 'stolen election'?

[gearheadbicycles]

Love this guy but, if it was "science" why does anyone have to wait for his calls on the keys? Shouldn't anyone be able to apply his methodology and get the same answer? Apologies if this is addressed in his books or elsewhere.

[-Down-D-Stairs-]

How does Afghanistan not count as a foreign policy failure? or the Ukraine and Palestine wars?

[randalllewis]

How can Biden be allowed to continue to run the country, even with everyone knowing what we now know.

[jayacorn]

“The assassination of RFK Jr.”? I love Allan Lichtman, but that slip bothers me.