Allan Lichtman: 2024 election hinges on four ‘key’ issues: Presidential historian | Vargas Reports

American University’s Allan Lichtman, who formulated 13 keys to the incumbent party winning the White House, says the Democrats’ switch to Vice President Kamala Harris loses three keys. But he tells “Elizabeth Vargas Reports” that four of his keys are still in play.
#2024election #kamalaharris #allanlichtman

Anchor Elizabeth Vargas delivers the biggest stories, without bias or opinion. Watch "Elizabeth Vargas Reports" every weeknight at 6p/5C on NewsNation. #VargasReports

NewsNation is your source for fact-based, unbiased news for all America.

[Kaisaccountt]

Every 4 years this man gets hate and he proves the haters wrong every time.

[glendeal]

I modified your keys and used them for New Zealand Politics and it worked for every MMP election in New Zealand for the last 30 years, including the surprise outcome of 2017. Amazing.

[cimbalok]

It would be prudent for the MSM media outlets to interview Allan Lichtman. He should be on Face the Nation, Meet the Press, 60 Minutes, MSNBC, CNN, etc. The dude works with facts, not wishful thinking or emotion. Numbers don't lie. I'm an artist (musician) and I'm all in for facts when it comes to things like this. Thanks for the clip.

[outdooroperator]

So yall tryna tell me theirs no foreign policy or military failure?

[gemradiant]

So, over 5 keys have to be false/failed for the incumbent party to lose. Keys 1, 3, and 12 are false. Key 11 is false. Key 8 is uncertain or false. Only time will tell.

[michaelward]

It hinges on Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona.

Politics are local.

Swing states are all that matters.

Political Science at the National Level doesn’t matter.

Messaging has to go local.

[courtneybrubaker]

I believe in his 13
Keys.
Not polls, not
“Experts”
With no success.

[mboiko]

"Today is today. And yesterday was today yesterday. Tomorrow will be today tomorrow. So live today, so the future today will be as the past today as it is tomorrow.” — Kamala Harris

[ryanvertucci]

The botched Afghan withdrawal is not a military/foreign policy failure? Record inflation is not an economic failure?

[petejams]

Even the anchors' eyes are glazing over...

[williamseppala]

A failed democrat operative who ran for senate in 2006 in Maryland. He placed 6 th and is an unabashed Trump hater. Expert my a_ _

[thomasdukes]

He forgot The Simpsons key. It's wild how an episode of the Simpsons made in the year 2000 shows Lisa in a purple pants suit with pearls around her neck. And what Kamala Harris wears on inauguration day? A purple dress with pearls around her neck. Her sorority that she joined years ago their identity is wearing pearls. I don't know but only time will tell

[andrewperkin]

Many coments ignoring litchmans record and knowledge. Hes not a lefty or stupid. His model is based in history and doesn't change for anything which is good as models that change are subject to bias of the times.

He's been all but right apart from gore (who would have won without jeb bush election suppression)

[khon]

jp mandell was the best worst pick by beavis & butthead, fascist sarah palin

[chuckcaputo]

My prediction: this guy will get a better toup.

[PatternMusic]

The keys are factors that have been useful to predict a the outcome of recent elections, but the keys do not cause the outcome. Correlation vs causation.

[shellbacksclub]

It's over for Trump then. This guy is scary right

[jsevenk]

✅did biden just secure the foreign policy key today with Russian exchange?

[Henry-psjo]

What would you consider party contest in this case since Kamala wasn’t democratically elected via a primary? Would it be true because she’ll get more than 2 thirds of the delegates or false because she wouldn’t have gotten 2 thirds of the vote if she was involved in the primary?

[okolona]

What about chaos at the Southern Border?
Is this considered to be military success or failure?