Why You Should Buy this F***ing Dip! NIFTY-50 Crash

WHY YOU SHOULD BE BUYING THIS DIP! NIFTY-50 Crash

Global markets have been selling off since last week ever since the US non-farm payroll data for the month of July was released, which showed lower than expected job growth and unemployment rate in US rising to 4.3%. This sell off came despite the Fed Chairman giving the clearest possible signal in his most recent press conference that the Fed intends to start rate cuts in Sept’24. This pullback is essentially the market's way of telling the Fed that it's late, very late in cutting rates, and that it should have started cutting rates in Jul’24 itself!

I had predicted this sell-off in stocks in very very unambiguous terms in an earlier video published on 2 Jun’24, in which I had clearly indicated that any post-election rally in stocks will likely fizzle out in a matter of weeks, once bad news related to a weakening US economy starts to mount. This video is available at:

And here we are – exactly 9 weeks since I laid out my above-mentioned prediction, and the post-election rally seems to have all but evaporated, and the narrative of a multi-year bull run driven by the “India story” has very quickly given way to a more pessimistic outlook. And just as I was amongst the very few standing at the opposite end of the consensus view, predicting a quick demise of the post-election rally back in Jun’24, I once again fund myself at the opposite end of the consensus view prevailing right now, accordingly to which the on-going pullback in equity markets will only get worse from here. And that’s because I strongly believe the on-going pullback in stocks is temporary, that we will see a strong resumption in the rally that was on until very recently, and that the resumption will very likely coincide with the Fed starting to cut rates in September.

There has never been a time when a robust analytically driven rules-based approach was more critical, because only a rules-based approach can help navigate the ongoing and upcoming turbulence in equity markets without getting caught up in the clutter and noise generated as a result of the day-to-day wild swings in the markets.

Join this channel to get access to perks:

Chapters:
00:00 Summary of market trend predictions made in Jun’24
01:50 What is driving the on-going pull-back in equity markets?
05:54 Detailed predictions about future market trends made in Jun’24
09:30 Review of how these predictions have played out so far
11:20 Ending on the wrong end of consensus
12:24 Likely market trajectory from here
13:04 Will it be a 25 bps cut or 50 bps cut in Sept’24?
13:59 Implications of Fed starting to cut rates
18:19 Disclaimer

Visit our Website:

My Social Links:
WhatsApp No.: [phone]

#niftycrash #stockmarketcrash #stockmarketindia #equitymarket #nifty50 #nifty50today #globalstockmarket #niftyprediction #niftyfifty #niftypredictionfortomorrow #stockmarketstrategy #indianstockmarket #stockmarketnews #marketcrash #stockmarketcrash2024 #fed #fedrate #investmentfacts #tradingstrategy #tradingtips #equityfunds #equitymarket #stocktobuy #stocktowatch #stockmarketfacts #nse #nseindia #niftyanalysis #niftytrading #nifty #niftyandbankniftyanalysisfortomorrow #investing #investors #metacaps #indraanilguha

[IndraanilGuha]

When it comes to predicting the future direction of equity markets, I have an uncanny habit of invariably ending up at the opposite end of what is the prevailing consensus. Back in early Jun’24, when institutional and retail investors alike were gearing up for a multi-year bull run in equity markets on the back of a favorable general election results, I was amongst the few to unambiguously predict that any post-election rally in stocks will start to fizzle out in a matter of weeks, once bad news related to a weakening US economy starts to mount. And here we are – exactly 9 weeks since I laid out my above-mentioned prediction, and the post-election rally seems to have all but evaporated, and the narrative of a multi-year bull run has very quickly given way to a more pessimistic outlook. And yet again, I find myself at the opposite end of the consensus view prevailing right now! And that’s because I strongly believe the on-going pullback in stocks is temporary, that we will see a strong resumption in the rally that was on until very recently, and that the resumption will very likely coincide with the Fed starting to cut rates in September.

[nkr]

Sir, I have to tell you that your content is so rich which speaks for itself, you don't need that F words in ur thumbnail to draw audience. Once again thanks for great content keep it coming.

[dharmendersingh]

I am truly agreed...crude will go to lowest in coming month...to 15...means market will collapse in coming months

[MyFlabbergast]

I remember 2nd June video, so this was just a recap. Since then, I'm waiting for 2 rate cuts before cutting my position. I believed in his logic back then, and even now. Thank you!

Little bit of well deserved chest-thumping as well though.

This time in his video, he didn't thank subscribers as always at start, but does at last.

[siddarajadevangada]

Sir, its a very good content. Can you also make vedios on strategy to exit market after rate cuts. Thanks for sharing your knowledge.

[phoenixrising]

Your stock value is increasing day by day and is still extremely undervalued …

[navneetmukherjee]

Analytical skill at it's best
Clear confident cautious extrapolation

Kudos to you sir

[kunalcholera]

Was expecting your video anytime.. Here you go.. Thank you. Keep posting.

[coldstone]

Markets are very efficient now. They do not play these false signals.

A 50 bps cut means that US is falling into deep recession and that simply means carry trades will unwind more rapidly as there is no point investing into a market which is falling into deep recession. This will remove all the leverage from the market and these days these kind of things just happen in days unlike 2000s when this used to take months to play out!

[arijitsarkar]

I am following you from starting of 2024. And I am truly lucky I found your channel. Absolutely Amazing

[CentaurIndia]

Your 02 June analysis & predictions were really good. Today's analysis and predictions ARE very much in sync with the Prevailing Narrative/Consensus TODAY. What you are referring to as 'prevailing consensus' of US recession, Yen carry trade, Pullback in India worsening" is old news from YESTERDAY. Even retail investors know that already.

[arunu]

Awesome content. ❤ Data slaps hard in the face it is thoroughly enjoyed by me.. Thank u sir

[TekkieSuresh]

Sir, your content is logical and good. There is no need to dramatise the heading.

[tinguzz]

My Doctor friend told, "till FED won't cut rates equity markets won't perform". Well that is enough to believe rate cut will bring in 20-30% market rally, everywhere GREEN . . . Wrap up and exit positions. Fingers crossed 100% invested !! I think 20-30% rally in Nifty, let us see.

[tradersinsights]

Thanks for your insights @IndraanilGuha!!! Could you also make a video regarding some of the best learning resources, book, trainings etc. that you have come across e.g. Wyckoff, Elliot waves or anything you find that works best? Thanks in advance! Keep up the great work!

[rohitmangla]

Thanks for giving such a high quality content free.

[dhawalwade]

Been following you from April, got great insights related to the macro events affecting markets. Your videos carry in depth analysis. Keep making more such videos👍❤❤❤

[marketview]

Fed announcing rate cut in sept .you are right the bull rally last leg starts

[GauravSingh-fwxf]

16:04 Hi Indraanil, most USA stock analysts are already mentioned that fed cut will mark beginning of stock market crash, it's almost tribal knowledge in US, since people are more informed now I doubt we will see rally after first cut and instead straight market crash, please share your opinions

[gangadharkamath]

Crisp, Clear and to the point

Respect for your knowledge Indraanil Da