What Everyone Gets Wrong About Global Warming

Throughout this video I say "probability curve" when a statistician would say "probability distribution." I just want to say that I'm aware of this, and that it's a choice I intentionally made because I felt like it made it easier to understand.

While I would very much like to get deep into probability functions, what they mean, and how they work, I don't know if that's necessary to understand the world with curves. And this isn't just about climate and weather, pretty much everything is better understood if it's understood in terms of probability functions. And I generally like to see the world not for the collapsed reality dot, but for the function underneath. It's why winning at gambling always feels empty to me, I know that the underlying function has my losing even if happened to get lucky. So, in a way, gambling is always losing, even if you win.

I know I'm an armchair statistician, and that lots of people will be annoyed by the language in this video, but I hope you can forgive me!

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[SeeJay]

As someone who studies the environment every day, I tend to forget that not everyone thinks in this way. For that, we have wonderful content creators like you guys. ty

[MANA]

I need bill wurtz to explain this to me

[ShawnZiemba]

"The most difficult subjects can be explained to the most slow-witted man if he has not formed any idea of them already; but the simplest thing cannot be made clear to the most intelligent man if he is firmly persuaded that he already knows, without a shadow of a doubt, what is laid before him." ~Leo Tolstoy

[constancellc]

'NOT THE DOTS, THE CURVE' may become my new motto

[Master_Therion]

When a flat-Earther warms up to the idea of the Earth being a globe, is that Global

[RobertMilesAI]

I was considering posting a comment about "probability curves" vs "probability distributions", and then I read the video description.

[kittenwispy]

Am i the only one that thumbnail looks like Rick and Morty's portal??

[mannysikario]

I'm taking a statistics class, and I get more what a probability distribution is thanks to you lol

[cupcakewithouttheicing]

Very serious Hank to chill Hank in under 4 minutes

[Stevonicus]

I love the smell of statistics in the morning

[Lmjacks]

Hank, thank you for this video; it was very well researched and presented. Understanding the world around us and how it is changing is not easy, and videos such as this are valuable resources for learning.

[punkrockgirlpa]

I am thrilled that this is trending :) such an important video :) thanks Hank!

[MarkThePage]

Unfortunately, in order to explain this stuff to people, you have to get them to listen. And why rack your brain understanding new concepts that challenge your worldview, when you could change channels and have an angry lady just tell you what to think?

That said, Hank, you've done a great job making this science easier to understand and in a way that holds people's attention!

[violetmoon]

Its difficult to deal in absolutes when it comes to the weather, so it's appropriate to discuss the effects of global warming in terms of probability. Great points being made Hank

[SwaaaggyB]

"With Great power comes Great Responsibility"- Uncle Ben

[luguy]

Always have fun visiting you. I feel the difference from my childhood to my senior years. The extremes are there in the news, too. It’s really happening.

[prathameshkale]

Plz think about crash course statistics.

[ZoggFromBetelgeuse]

One might explain your curve like this: Imagine that each year on January 1st, some guy in a top secret weather-making facility in Area 51 launches eight dice. Each "one" results in a major storm hitting the US. The result will be what Earthling mathematicians call "Binomial distribution", a curve not unlike the curve you drew.

Now, when the guy adds a nineth dice, the number of storms is still quite random, one might still have a series of "good years" or even a stormless year - but overall, higher numbers get slightly more likely, thus the curve shifts little a bit to the right.

The effects of climate change on the number of storms are roughly like this (minus the guy in Area 51).

[Dbm_-oezv]

Lol we are screwed.



We debate more about if it's true or not rather than debating on how we are going to fix it.

[Pintexx]

I learned that global learning was real even before Obama was president... not politics just science