Europe’s climate in 2050

The speed and magnitude of the climate change we are facing today is unprecedented. Heatwaves, droughts, floods... We are feeling its effects on our daily lives, year after year. Its impacts will increase at least until 2050 and every region of Europe will be affected.

Based on the results of the latest available studies, and in particular, on the 6th IPCC report, this film, produced by scientists in the framework of the European project EUCP, aims to present to the general public the climate changes expected in Europe in 2050. The researchers explain in an accessible way the variations in temperature and precipitation as well as the extreme climate events that European inhabitants will have to face.

This film provides the keys to understand how climate will reshape our landscapes and lifestyles over the coming decades. ... and to enable us to better anticipate the need for human societies to adapt to this partly inevitable climate change.

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This film is available in several languages:
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💻 For more information:
- The European Climate Prediction System (EUCP)
- The CNRS news website
- IPCC-AR6, WGI
- IPCC Interactive Atlas
- "Making climate projections conditional on historical observations", Ribes et al. 2021
- "Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble", Coppola et al. 2021
- "Understanding climate change from a global analysis of city analogues", Bastin et al. 2019
- "The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution part 2: historical and future simulations of precipitation", Pichelli et al. 2021

📽 Scientific Director: Samuel Somot (Météo France), Centre national de recherches météorologiques (CNRM - Météo France / CNRS)
Screenplay: Marina Martinez
Music: Tristan Lepagney
© CNRS, 2021

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[kongdaniel]

In 2020 it was talked about a possible 40 degrees in London in 2050. It happened yesterday.

[kapoioBCS]

Even in this video, the most upvoted comments are the stupidest. E.g. the comments about being excited about warmer summers 🤦‍♂️

[MrTrickFM]

I have personally noticed one such change in my country.
In Romania, fig trees used to be almost unheard of - except for the S-E and S-W regions. My grandfather was Greek and he was the only person in his village (S-E Romania) to have such a tree in his yard (I'm talking about the '60s and '70s). However, my grandmother had to permanently cover it in wintertime, in order to protect it from frost. Although it survived the cold seasons, it grew only to the shrub level and never became a tree in the true sense of the word. Even the figs produced were small, green and unable to ripen in Romania's climate BACK THEN.
Nowadays, the winters in my region have become so mild (no snowfall for nearly a decade now) and the summers so dry (rainfall in Romania used to have maxima in summers) that the fig trees can actually grow and reach maturity, just like in the Mediterranean region. There are now entire plantations of fig trees in my region!
As a result, I have bought some figs from my city market this autumn and they were EXACTLY the same as the figs that can be found in e.g. Greece, where I had lived for two years. Without knowing of the newly established plantations, I would have suspected the figs to have been imported from Greece or Italy!

[xXNekou]

In Poland 15-20 years ago the winters were harsh, and we had lots of snow, usually from November till April. Now it's not as cold, and it seems my hometown in Poland only gets snow in January-March period. I see the climate change with my own eyes judging how seasons change in my country.

[frontrowviews]

I feel like one massive issue that is regularly overlooked is mass climate migration. Huge densely populated parts of Africa and Asia just won’t be habitable anymore, resulting in a mass migration probably toward Europe, North America and south-east Asia

[rikjansen]

Naming the issue of having to reinvent the 'winter mountain sports' as one of the issues in this video misses the point of the crisis that we are in. We wont be worrying about not being able to go skiing when we laterally cant grow food even in places like southern Europe....

[parismalaspinas]

I'm from Athens, Greece.
I was born in 1994 and I remember back then everyone used to praise the Athenian climate. It was warm but not very hot in summer and we had mild winters. Since 2018 it has snowed more than 5 times in Athens which is extremely rare and the summers are absolutely unbearable. We don't have fall anymore. It goes from hot summer to freezing cold weather. It also rarely rains but when it rains everything floods. It's just not the same anymore.

[summeroflove]

It's sad to see less snowfall. European winters were always so beautiful. I cannot imagine a hot Christmas.

[The_Orgazoid]

Nevermind 2050, this video feels like it was made for 2022

[Skillseboy]

The temperature increase during winters in the northern regions of Europe is already happening. 10-15 years back, I remember winters in the Netherlands filled with ice skating, snowball fights, and sleighing for weeks or months on end. We haven't had such winters anymore for the last 5-10 years, having only occasional snowfall which melts away almost immediately or frozen waters for a couple of days.

[steamlink]

I was born in 1994 and live in Switzerland. We used to be called 'The water castle of Europe'. But reports of water scarcity during summer are increasing and measures to save water are being increasingly issued by the government. This spring, it rained for 2 months without a break, and now it has stopped raining for almost 2 months entirely.

[zoltan]

2050 ? We're already experiencing most of what she is talking about.

[MellonVegan]

Even today, 30% of Germany's forests are dying bc we've had record droughts for 3 consecutive years. Not to speak of the associated crop failures. And snow? Doesn't exist in winters, anymore. But then you'll have sudden hailstorms in April.

Yet still people deny climate change. It's ridiculous.

[maxmadovsky]

As a 17 year old this video makes me wanna cry

[spielpfan]

Here in Austria, especially in the alps, it's crazy. In the first half of the 00s we had snow every single year. It was possible to go skiing, it was possible to go sledding in my neighbourhood, both without artificial snow. From 2015 on we needed at least a little bit of artificial snow to still go skiing and sledding. And the last time it was possible in my neighbourhood area was in 2018. Since then there was either no snow or so little that it was impossible to go skiing/sledding. Everyone can notice things like that. That's very disturbing.

[rubenbraekman]

As a kid I used to to play in the snow for days on end, there was snow for at least a couple weeks a year. But now I miss the sight of snow here in Belgium... it might snow for a few days a year or not at all... climate change is real and it's all around us for those who want to see

[dama]

And not one of the Paris targets have been reached...

[nryan]

As a farmer in Ireland, it thankfully appears that we won’t have as strong climate change effects as other European countries so we’ll have to produce more food for Europe. Currently, Ireland can produce food for 9 times our population (5 million). We’re currently putting big funds towards sustainable agriculture research so we can produce more but more efficiently. We got this💪🏻🌱☘️

[andreabazzoli]

I am from northern Italy from the Alps region. Back when I was a kid we had regular snowfalls every winter, it has been 10 years and those have become rarer and rarer. I remember pleasant temperatures in the summer, now it is unbearable and every summer it seems like it is getting hotter

[Metonoktaexe]

In Turkey, over here in my region, the snow just rains for 4-5 specific days in these years. The previous winter, thus being the biggest snowing in Istanbul in 32 or 37 years, it dropped to here a few weeks later here before melting away after 4-5 days. (I'm very close to Istanbul) And damn, I'm lucky that I'm not in South-East. It is burning every summer as always. It will get worse overtime.