2024 Presidential Map Based on Latest Polls | Biden v Trump v RFK Jr

At the end of March, Donald Trump leads Joe Biden and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. by 2.3% according to the latest three-way race average from Decision Desk HQ/The Hill. But how are each of these candidates performing in the race to 270 electoral votes. Let's fill out the 2024 Electoral College map based on the latest polls in all 50 states that include RFK Jr.

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Election Predictions Official is the fastest-growing non-partisan political channel on YouTube, focused on analyzing and forecasting elections based on socio-demographics, polling data, and voting patterns. My official 2020 Presidential Election Forecast correctly predicted the outcome in 49 of 50 states. My 2022 Senate Forecast accurately projected the winners in 33 of 34 races.

This channel is run solely by Ryan Gest, a student at The George Washington University's School of Media and Public Affairs, and an elections data science fellow at Decision Desk HQ.

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[AstralWalker]

They’re starting to say RFK is taking away from Trump more than Biden. Not buying it.

[COV]

RFK is bringing his own voters. I feel like the people voting for him, are not going to vote for either Republican or Democrat candidates. Democrats are just starting to make excuses as to why the 2024 election will be lost.

[Chopzia]

Quit pretending like Texas and Florida are in play

[Evolocean]

I think many people aren't choosing Kennedy because they don't think he'll be on all ballots. Once he has complete ballot access, I think you're going to see a substantial shift in polling. We'll just have to wait and see.

[jenv]

Thank you for your hard work in the information you provided; truly needed and interesting!

[wadegannaway]

I have never voted party, gender or race lines. Best person for the job. IMO it's like building your own business. Best candidate wins. The fact that the Dems (who left me long ago) are doing everything in their power to keep RFK off the ballet has my attention.

[kelleysutherland]

I’m a dedicated volunteer and supporter of RFK. Stumbled upon this video but greatly appreciate the fact based and non opinionated presentation of the details. Once he has (if he has) the opportunity to debate - the polls will absolutely shift. He is the answer we need right now, the two party system is broken and corp capture is real. He may not be right on all positions, but he is educated, honest and fighting for America/Americans. ~ Signed former democrat and post COVID left coast refuge

[johnlopez]

I truly appreciate your wealth of information on this most important subject. In gratitude, I am subscribing.

[pauld]

Another good analysis.

Thank you for the mention of the Constitution Party.

It definitely needs to make more of an effort to remind people that it still exists.

[dan-d]

Listed, to all people afraid that RFK jr might win over Trump, RFKjr. is very much anti-establishment. Trump’s campaign even asked RFK to be Trump’s VP. So, RFK jr. is definitely the good guy. Nobody should vote for Biden, that’s the most important thing. RFK jr has my vote tho

[CindiAbbottTentdoor]

Hell yeah!!! We need rfk on every state ballot

[ebonic]

I decided months ago RFK Jr. was getting my vote. One of the easiest choices I'll ever have to make..

[jacksonlsu]

Nicole grew up in Oakland. On food stamps and welfare. Then she worked as a busser at 12 and a hostess at 15. She applied for an internship to law school and private school (puget sound )on a Merritt scholarship. She didn't cheat on anyone. She was miserable married to that billionaire who didn't share her values.She uses that money to help others. She has donated over 100 million to the bucks institution for reproductive longevity.. and the later donations to politicians were also in order to help. She has since left the Democratic Party knowing they don't share her values. She has supported foundations of regenerative agriculture. Donated to California University for autistic research. She created bia-echo for criminal justice reform and environmental rights.

[ahnonymuz]

no one will get 270 thats my prediction, RFK has a chance in congress

[deidrekelloggketroser]

Thank you for all of your excellent work. This was very informative. I am a new subscriber!

[Nick-bhbk]

As long as dementia 2.0 isn't in office for a second term, I will be at least relieved.

[producer]

Thanks for your excellent, informative work. Tech note: Your audio has a soft, persistent, low frequency hum, circa 78hz plus a 233 overtone. Just fyi. Thanks again!

[nathancampbell]

I’m voting for Kennedy- win or lose. I’m not voting against a party or person anymore- I’m voting FOR someone. And I’m not allowing my vote to be swayed by fear.

[AZTUC_]

VA and MN can be flipped. The most recent polls had Trump with in 5 points.

[Mike__Finger]

I really hope RFK jr is given a chance to debate the other two candidates. At the very least it would at least improve his name recognition and help brake the status quo. While I don’t believe he really has a chance to win the election, it could be the case he opens a path for future candidates to do so.