What would happen if Russia collapsed?

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Russia has sustained itself through all manner of political stress, but what would happen if it collapsed in the 21st century?

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Russian car crash compilations will hold the country together strongly

cjbrhxq
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Caspian Report: What would happen if Russia collapsed.
Russian Neighbors: What would happen if Russia expands.

princeamori
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Russian History seems a repeat of the phrase "And then things got much worse."

edalder
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umm one correction here: The Russian citizens did not turn against the Tsar because they lost WW1. They were already well on their way to revolution before that happened, and he was forced to abdicate while Russia was still fighting. In fact, Russia kept on fighting for a while after, only signing the treaty of Brest-Litovsk when the Soviets managed to take power. And Germany intentionally released Lenin back into Russia hoping to undermine the new government there, which worked splendidly for them (until a couple decades later at least).

And it had less to do with Nicholas being liberal than it did his numerous poor decisions and the mismanagement under his wife who alienated herself by listening to Rasputin while he was off at the front.

simonphoenix
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After watching this, I feel like Russia is stuck in a vicious cycle of humiliation, collapse, and reformation.

Sierra-
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*Russia, exists:* "This is bad."
*Russia, ceases to exist:* _"This is worse!"_

CJusticeHappen
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China looking at Siberia like: “it’s free real estate”

bensonfang
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Maybe Putin got worried after watching this video

jebronlames
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Mongolia's navy will single handedly stop Russia's Easter front.

liamwinter
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What happens to the nuclear arsenal would be the primary concern

Joker-ywhl
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If the Russian government collapsed, then I would like to believe the rest of the world would be willing to help the people of Russia. I’m an American, but have no hatred or animosity towards the people of Russia. Most of them are just like me. They work, take care of their families, have fun with friends, and just want to be peaceful with others.

thevox
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Maybe Belarus would take another shot at trying to annex Russia 😈

DireAvenger
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Feels like the very concept of a "best-case scenario" went out the window the moment Ukraine was invaded.

bloodrain
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There is a huge Muslim minority (around 10%), and in Chechnya and Dagestan they even openly revolted; the East might sooner or later fall under Chinese influence or even control.
Many Chinese people settle there, and some day Beijing might argue with the same reasons, Moscow used to annex the Crimea peninsula.
And the East has many resources China desperately needs.

bluerisk
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You are a vocal artist and magician, next to being an amazing historian and storyteller. After watching this episode, I actually feel the perpetual nightmare the Russian people are in.

vizualsbynick
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"The greatest danger of the 21st century is a weak, fragmented Russia".
2022: challenge accepted

sierranexi
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This analysis misses the most likely reason for a meltdown, namely : a dysfunctional transition of power post-Putin. And Putin's demise could come about by any number of conditions. If he voluntarily cedes control to a successor that would (presumably) prevent a dysfunctional transition. But if the transition occurs under any other circumstances it could get real messy.

mikesaunders
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I used to think that Russian army was the second best in the world. Now it appears to be the second best in Ukraine.

goupigoupi
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Analysis feels like it buys a bit too much into a "Russian World" view that Russia is somehow keeping both Europe and Asia stable by its existence when it is the largest threat to peace in the region both historically and in the early 2022 present.

NuncNuncNuncNunc
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This is even more interesting given the current context of the Ukraine invasion and Putin’s behavior.

pat