2024 Presidential Map Based On Latest Polls in KEY SWING STATES!

Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris by just a tenth of a percentage point, 0.1% based on 104 polls in Decision Desk HQ and the Hill’s national average. Harris had led in five straight surveys leading up to today’s VP selection, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz. But as always the key question remains: how are Trump and Harris polling against one another in the key battleground states that will ultimately determine who hits 270 electoral votes.
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Election Predictions Official is the fastest-growing non-partisan political channel on YouTube, focused on analyzing and forecasting elections based on socio-demographics, polling data, and voting patterns. My official 2020 Presidential Election Forecast correctly predicted the outcome in 49 of 50 states. My 2022 Senate Forecast accurately projected the winners in 33 of 34 races.
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*Thank you to my channel members!*

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This channel is run solely by Ryan Gest, a student at The George Washington University's School of Media and Public Affairs, and an elections data science fellow at Decision Desk HQ.
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[davidc]

I still don’t believe that someone who got 0% in the primary, and has had the worst poll numbers for VP, who still has yet to campaign or do an interview or even a debate, is remotely close to Trump in the polls.

[zatoichi]

After 2020, I will never underestimate the "average " voter.

[QathamZamil]

People are voting for Harris to spite Trump. Trump needs to get his act together and stop acting like an imbecile and act more presidential. He could still win this thing, just focus on the issues and stop these polarizing personal attacks and childish antics. Attacking a popular Republican governor for ef's sake wtf!!?? Does he think he gets votes by doing this??

[AlexA-vzpz]

It’s beyond me why anyone would even consider voting for Harris with her record.

[tomservo]

Whenever a person who strongly supports one candidate says "I can't believe people would vote for the other guy, " that's more of a reflection on that person or his candidate. What the extremes on both sides, whether it be the ultra-woke hard left or the ultra-MAGA hard right, will never understand is that *the election is decided by people who do not think like them.* I've been following Presidential elections since Bush-Dukakis and the hard lesson is that simply having a bad incumbent is not enough to make voters pick the other guy. The opposition has to say how he/she would be a better option. Neither Trump nor Harris have effectively done that yet, at least since Biden's departure.

[mikewilliams]

She just handed Trump the election picking Walz. Pennsylvania won't be happy about that.

[Frank-stgd]

No cheating the voters on both sides this year. They get cought lock them up.

[nateborck]

I'll probably be following this channel till the election.

[DoggosAndJiuJitsu]

People say “college educated voter” like it’s a compliment today.

[timothyd]

I have to unsubscribe, this page is way too far right in their biases, and I say this as a Trump voter. He's using so much old data from before Biden dropped out, which is entirely irrelevant now.

[juanitoqueintin]

I don’t like Trump but we cannot afford another radical Kamala administration. God help us we need Trump 2024 !!!

[sompolbumrongjaroen]

NPR/PBS/Marist poll 8/06/2024 Harris 51% Trump 48%

[NawiTheCore]

After the mistake Harris made by picking Walz, I fully expect Trump to take a more decided lead in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

[Firezap]

I dont agree with tilt Harris in Michigan. You can only get there with the morning consult poll which has harris +11, which would never happen in Michigan. If you take out that 1 poll it tilts trump or goes to toss up.

[paullyon-vvtb]

Republicans who don't like TRUMP please VOTE TRUMP we can't afford any more left wing politicians its not about TRUMP it's about AMERICANS lives
❤❤❤❤❤❤❤

[CoreyLloydo]

As the election draws near, I’m considering how potential policy changes could influence market growth. Election outcomes often impact sector performance, create market instability, and call for adjustments to your investment strategy due to shifts in legislation.

[jchess]

Ima keep saying this. has to vote AND register new people to vote or we will lose

[Anti-socialSocialClub]

The polling averages use polls from many months ago, how do you compare someone whos being doing months of campaigning to someone who has done barely 2 weeks of campaigning ?

At least disregard the polls taken before Biden quit.

[USAcit]

Lets go, Nevada! Wisconsin! Georgia! Pennsylvania! Michigan! Vote Trump 🇺🇸 Vance 🇺🇸

[hermanjr]

Let’s hope and pray for a clean election.