Trump and Harris Neck-and-Neck in Pennsylvania and Georgia

15 states are in play for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump on the 2024 Electoral College map. Let's go through each of the most recent surveys taken in every state!
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Election Predictions Official is the fastest-growing non-partisan political channel on YouTube, focused on analyzing and forecasting elections based on socio-demographics, polling data, and voting patterns. My official 2020 Presidential Election Forecast correctly predicted the outcome in 49 of 50 states. My 2022 Senate Forecast accurately projected the winners in 33 of 34 races.
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This channel is run solely by Ryan Gest, a student at The George Washington University's School of Media and Public Affairs, and an elections data science fellow at Decision Desk HQ.
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[DarkwingDann]

Californians leaving California for Texas but bringing their political views 😢😢

[jjjones-er]

California liberals leaving for Texas and still voting for liberals.lol.

[SBDavin]

Some of the polls were conducted before RFK dropped out (08/23/2024).

[Kbandz]

I still think there’s so many “Closet” trump supporters that polls are underestimating him in a few states. Then there’s other issues going on in Democratic states/cities that’s hard to ignore.

[toptenguy]

After the way Hawaii was treated in the past year with the fires, I am ASTONISHED that they're STILL gonna vote "Blue no matter who".

[kevinmoore]

I came to your video which was released an hour ago to hear what the latest polls are saying. What I found is that you're not using the latest polls. And using polls from smaller companies and small survey examples. For example you are using polls for Nevada and Arizona that were for 8-15th and 12-16 of August respectively. Yet there have been a number of polls since then including some released on Fox within the last 36-48 hours. Cherry picking polls you like does not give your viewer an accurate assessment and certainly not based on the latest polls.

[thegrindpodcastwithdanielr]

Question, why are we using specific polls, for each state. Why not go to a model that uses the average of different polls?

[renowarren]

I appreciate your slower pace when you speak. Lot of data and other videos that I see often has the commentator talking too fast and rushing through this making it harder to understand. Plus, I’m getting older so I enjoy simplicity more than ever 😂

[sttubz]

Thank you for being one of the few non-partisans out there today. Things have gotten so biased and muddled that I'm starting to get sick 🤦

[Bob-xton]

Who in their right mind will vote for Harris. Perhaps if you hate your family and future. Wake up people. She has been there 3.5 years already

[dad]

Someone would either have to be ignorant, or uninformed to want 4 more years of this chaos.

[HildaHernandez-lcqg]

The way this country is who would vote for democrats?. Not me for sure.

[lindataylor]

Red State will be California vote ❤️❤️🇺🇲🇺🇲 Arizona Red Texas is really red and new jersey red and New York is red Illinois is going red Wisconsin is going Red Nebraska Iowa Red Oregon Washington State are going Red and Colorado is going to be upsetting there going Red

[JM-vnli]

Great job. Will you cover the House? Or maybe even the gubernatorial elections?

[johnnymonarski]

Kamala is Winning All Swing States ... Good luck with ur Model 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣😍

[billm]

There are no consequences fir him being wrong, so he can say anything.

[RobertTidbury]

Great analysis thank you. This election will hinge on voter turn out. If you’re a Trump supporter please get out and vote🎉

[thefff]

Hi! When will you release your model on your website again? It was really good!

[krissayer]

I noticed the EPO website has been down a few weeks. I enjoy looking at the county predictions.

[raywalter]

Trump24🇺🇸 get out and vote!!
God help us 🙏