How do pollsters predict UK general election results? | FT

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[Prch]

Perfect timing for this video, I've my econometrics final on tuesday. Wish me luck

[LewisLoveder]

Sudden boost in FT production quality in this video(!) shoutout to those responsible. Most polished looking video I've watched on here so far and just as informative 👏🏻

[deathguarddavegoogley]

What they do is have their main offices and 90% of their staff in the South East and then wonder why they keep getting it wrong.

[johnharding]

I voted for Borris as PM but was then worried that he might go in reverse. But I will not vote for Mrs Doris Mays warmed up Treaty.  I
intend to just write BREXIT across my paper in protest as spoiled papers are counted.   I think the first test will be fishing the EU want our waters and say there will be no negotiations until they have control of our waters.       The Mogg and Boris and many other pro-Brexit MPs have all said it was not up for negotiation if they fall at the first hurdle that will be the end of Brexit whatever follows will be the EU's idea of Brexit and totally out of our hands.   I understand that people are fed up with
Brexit and just want it over but do Brexit in haste and you will repent at your leisure.   Boris says "Just get it done" but it will be the people of the UK that will be done. So it looks very much to me that is
Brexit over as we cannot be bothered so we lost our Brexit and have the EU's Brexit instead.  Please, please prove me wrong.

[Mike_]

Producing election predictions must be an easy dream job as they can never be proved to be wrong

[MrBoliao]

Get a Hundred people per constituency, that's pretty good, but not an accurate range.

[eruno_]

I wish UK had proportional representation

[MedicineGov]

Judging by the past few elections, discluding the last one, however, including BREXIT - terribly. Pollsters predict UK general election results poorly.

[ThatcheriteAvadhoot]

I am surprised from the comments section how much ignorance/antipathy people have for sophisticated statistical / econometric technical skills. Here is a layman explanation to technical advancements with statistical inference and all people have to talk in comments is about emotional arguments.

[pelasgeuspelasgeus]

Excuse me but you don't answer the main question: is the sample of 1000 people enough to get a reliable result? I know you'll say that those 1000 people need to be selected carefully! Well, I don't agree with that.
Let's say you needed to check a big amount of things and you had to check some of them as a sample. Wouldn't you say that the sample number is related to the total number of things? In other words, would it be OK to check 1000 socks to verify a million of production is OK?
Well?

[qlxc]

by the way...The Sun and Euronews (maybe others) shádowcensór youtube comments. twitter shádowcensórs too. and some other websites. internet tip: log out, and check your comment is still visible.

[garyturner]

Why is YouTube trying to censor me with 'remember to keep comments respectful..' .?

[mabit]

They do all this work and get a wrong answer.

[Loppy]

I can roll a dice and get a more accurate result than you "expert pollsters"

[fannybuster]

Should 16 year old children be allowed to vote...?

[whoflungdung]

So basically it's a load of bollocks.

[gerryd]

The only way I would vote this year would be if there was a choice at the bottom of ballet paper stating non of the above, as given the state of parlament at the moment and the Muppets in charge were screwed no matter who gets in

[Damo]

I'm voting SNP to try to leave this mess.

(As soon as Scotlands independant I'm voting for anyone BUT SNP)

[jamesrichards]

most of the right wing paper's polls are conducted outside tory central office.

[michaeltooth]

Scotland and N.Ireland back to UE and little england go away...