The Electric Vehicle Disruption - End Of Oil by 2030

Tony Seba's Clean Disruption Keynote presentation at the Swedbank Nordic Energy Summit in Oslo, Norway, March 17th, 2016.

The keynote, based on the book 'Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation' assert that four technology categories will disrupt energy and transportation by:
1- Batteries / Energy Storage
2- Electric Vehicles
3- Self-Driving Vehicles
4- Solar Energy

The outcome of the Clean Disruption is that by 2030
• All new vehicles will be electric.
• All new vehicles will be autonomous (self-driving).
• Oil will be obsolete.
• Coal, natural gas and nuclear will be obsolete.
• 80+ per cent of parking spaces will be obsolete.
• Individual car ownership will be obsolete.
• All new energy will be provided by solar (and wind)

Clean Disruption is a technology disruption. Just like digital cameras disrupted film and the web disrupted publishing, Clean Disruption is inevitable and it will be swift.

Copyright © 2016 by Tony Seba

[benausmelbourne]

I don't get why this video has only 229k views.
Any manager in German autoindustry should have watched this.
Instead they were busy manipulating exhaust emission tests, while sleeping on the wheel.

[AcmePotatoPackingPocatello]

This is the most informative video I've ever seen about EV, Solar, Electric Storage and what it implies for future.

[richardgregory]

Isn't it amazing how we're pretty much bang on his prediction? It's also amazing how much people want to cling on to their beliefs, regardless of the evidence to the contrary.

[DDD-wtly]

I cant wait to come back to this in 5 years and laugh with all of you about how all these companies went under because of this disruption. Go Tesla GO!

[JL-xgxb]

Watching this in 2019 and wow this guy prediction is right on. I got a Tesla in 2018 and I can’t imagine going back to driving a dinosaur gas car. “By 2030 game over for gas car companies” Nice!

[tekis]

FINALLY, the end of oil companies and ALL the problems that they create! This was an excellent lecture.

[bc]

Thank you Mr Seba. i love this presentation.

[michaelannen]

I've been an EV driver for 4 years. I have ice cars and don't drive them anymore. it has really messed my head up because I'm a hard core car guy. I just don't see the need to drop money in the tank when I can drive for almost nothing.

[josephsmith]

He is right about that it's not happening in the future but it's happening now.

My next car will be an EV. The last car I purchased, I bought a used car that has about 7 years left to drive. I planed it out so by around 2020 to 2022 it will be time to replace that with an EV. I am good even with a 150 mile range. If I have to drive anything more than that once in a while, I don't have any problem taking an hour break to re-charge the EV.

Also, getting solar panels.

Can't wait to see all cars go electric. Good Riddance to oil.

[TackKeyNack]

OMFG I want my graduation (~2023-2024) gift for college to be an entry-level EV (well, if Filipino politicians would start thinking rationally). This is just amazing!

[igoping]

Great topic - I enjoyed the presentation very much. I would like to see more in-depth analysis on the fall-out of the change from fossil to EV transportation. As a consumer (and an early-adopter), I have a Tesla and am loving it every time I get into it. The whole impact of the advancement of a new technology (EV) versus the maturing of the incumbent technology (ICE) is going to cause a lot of huge waves. Sure some jobs will be transformed, but not without a lot of pain in the gas industry. The current ICE automobile is so heavily subsidized and taxed at the same time that unraveling this won't be fast enough to keep up with the technological changes. You might have noticed the ripples caused by oil prices when only a small glut was experienced. Wait until this glut becomes larger as a result of EV adoption! Along the same trend line - the price of oil will hit a cross-point where there is so much glut yet the cost of oil exploration and refining becomes prohibitive. Finally, the modern factories (like Tesla) that will build these EV's are much more modern and robotically-assisted that I doubt auto-workers and oil workers can all get jobs in electric power generation/transmission and EV production 1 for 1.

I would love to know how people will make out during this critical transition.

[youxkio]

Thank you sir, loved the speech, i'm also optimistic about the next few years.

[maharajajaja]

Would be great to have a world not choking on toxic vehicular emissions. Also this will lead to an economic boom in oil importing countries when their oil bills reduce with falling oil prices.
Cant wait!
Also fu OPEC!!

[ladypilliwick]

I had a hard time believing end of oil by all oil companies in the world as of 2017 are in massive debt and close to default. ...and this with 2.2 trillion dollars in government subsidies. .
It may be sooner

[normharper]

Bang ON target. So glad I invested when I did after listening to you Tony.

[Carnutzjoe]

Meanwhile, Putin is scrambling to try and reorganize OPEC. Too little, too late. When my 2009 Camry dies it's EV for me.

[johnbenton]

If I were one of the Koch brothers I would be very worried indeed.

[neurofiber]

Okay that was an eye opener. We're gonna need a lot of batteries...

[cyberoptic]

Well, now its March 2021, so we need to cut some slack around the 2020 tipping point. The pendulum is starting to swing towards EVs, but a little slower than Tony's chart. Still, close enough

[kevinisawake]

WHERE IS THE REST OF THE VIDEO WHERE IS QUESTION GREAT LECTURE, LOVING IT.