We Expected a Huge Space Explosion In Sept, 2024 But It Didn't Happen

Hello and welcome! My name is Anton and in this video, we will talk about the predicted nova that was supposed to happen this year but is sure taking its time to appear
Links:
#nova #tcoronaeborealis #newstar

0:00 T Corona Borealis nova predicted by astronomers
1:15 Why we think it should have occured
2:55 How we know this is a recurrent nova
4:05 Why we thought it would happen in 2024
5:00 Nova should still happen though, but why did we make a mistake?
6:30 New predictions based on x-ray observations
7:20 Conclusions and what we know so far

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[PrometheusZandski]

It seems that none of these scientists told the star it had to go nova before September. Maybe it's just really busy right now. Maybe it has scheduling conflicts.

[George-rkts]

Anton, there is nothing to be apologizing for. If you don't predict the correct date for something that has been observed so few times, and for which we have no model, the margins of error are bound to be huge.

You're sharing science with the public, which is so incredibly valuable.

Stay wonderful. Stay the course. Stay Anton.

[HarryONeil]

This is my absolute favorite YouTube channel, and Anton is the best science "communicator" online, period! I just love to listen to him, learning new things every time!

[billcarruth]

If this happens every 80 years, and it's 3000 light years away, that would mean it has done it's nova explosion 37 times since the last one that was visible, and the visual light show from each one is currently en route to us.

[andrewepp]

Very cool, what prevents the hydrogen gas from being completely blown away by the explosion? It seems crazy that it can keep happening like that!

[PuzzledMonkey]

Based on previous experience, this once in a lifetime event will occur when Seattle's night skies are overcast and raining for 30 days in a row.

So, this November?

[ElwoodBruise]

The only predictable thing in the science of space is how unpredictable it is. It's still fun to speculate, though. That's what makes it so exciting!

[ProfessorJayTee]

People don't understand probabilities. A 90% chance of something still means a 10% chance that it won't occur. Even now, we have no idea if those earlier predictions were "incorrect, " since we could simply be within the 10% scenario.

[KristelViljoen]

Oops, my bad.😂 The most amazing wonderful anomaly is that you can still find people that has the ability to admit that they are wrong and not trying to cover up a mistake. ❤ Respect.

[whiskeytango]

So, it's 2990 ly away. That means that if it explodes every 80 years or so, it will have exploded 37 additional times since the light we see left the star.

[Thedudeabides]

Space is insanely diverse. So many possibilities it baffles the mind.

[jimcurtis]

Wonderful as always Anton. Thank you. 💙🙃😊👍

[Queenmidas]

Anton you never have to apologize for the universe not behaving the way scientists think it should. It's never been a tame animal. 💕

[jpopelish]

As I understand nova, they are not explosions in an orbiting accretion disk, but are explosions in an accreting layer, laying on the white dwarf or neutron star's surface. Once it gets deep and dense enough, it goes off, like a hollow hydrogen bomb.

[davetinks]

An episode about the importance of models, the good, the bad, the ugly - and why they're so important - would be very illuminating to most

[randallpetersen]

The interval is going to get longer and longer, as there is less and less material to accrete.

[c.augustin]

Ah, I wondered if I missed something. Thanks for keeping us up-to-date! So it can still happen some time from now (in my remaining lifetime, I would like to see it with my own eyes).

[allentac]

Oh wow! You share my mom’s birthday. She would have loved your channel! ❤

[kuriokurio]

You uploaded this on the last minutes of my bday (20th september), which was the day I commented back then to join the prediction game. We all lost but I have a video on my bday related to the other one! 😸

[UnpleasantDog]

It's funny to think that this long-awaited event has already occurred almost forty times due to how far away this system is from us.