The REAL reason SpaceX Dear Moon was canceled!

Maezawa claims that his visionary Dear Moon Mission was canceled due to uncertain scheduling. That explanation is becoming less and less convincing...
#spacex #space #elonmusk

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[mikeharrington]

I suspect that Maezawa after seeing OceanGate's submersible Titan implode, reconsidered and thought. "Nah, I am not going there"

[bobbastian]

He made the mission to get a gf. He got a gf and went to the ISS so no longer needed this plaything. The delay was an excuse.

[ShaunRF]

He is no longer a member of the 3 Comma Club. "Two sh**ty commas!"

[Guren]

The billionaire is now a millionaire, quite simple 😅

[jordanhenshaw]

His post did seem authentically naive about space program timelines, so I think the delays were genuinely a significant factor. Also, he likely was not familiar with the concept of "Elon Time" and was perhaps a bit gullible. I do think that the timeline was a significant factor, but I don't think it's the only factor either.

[nonowayjose]

It was always a bullshit mission from the start... in fact, surprised the fib took this long...

[kirkdavenport]

Romantic imaginings unfulfilled do not constitute a tragedy. Shit happens.

[bandman]

So for lunar re-entry. Two options, leave the starship in earth orbit, and refuel it, or transfer to crew dragon and just keep the start ship in orbit.

[tscchope]

NASA is paying SpaceX $2.9bn for HLS which includes practice cargo and crew landings followed by the actual landings. That $5bn cost includes about the half that was spent on stage 0. It's not development cost for starship (of course Musk still has to finance stage 0). I thought $250m for the dear moon mission was a proper price. Why would anyone think you could do it for less? I think the main negative for such a mission is that you cannot guarantee when starship will be ready.

[redpillcoach]

I wonder if the guy got sick on his ISS flight?

About 1/3 of Astronauts experience significant space sickness, nausea and have an unpleasant time in zero g. This is after YEARS of training and preparation. It seems clear that if you are puking up your guts for most of your time in space it may make you less likely to go next time.

It also explains why they are so squirrelly about this. They don't want to let the cat out of the bag that space is hard and it may very well be that the general public is not suited for 0 g space flight.

[redferrari]

Good critical look at the costs of starship. Hopefully more people will see the reality of even with fully reusable how expensive moon missions will be.

[christopherdaffron]

Well, most people wait for the ship(s) to have been built and the service up and running before they book a cruise. Maezawa should consider doing same thing when it comes to booking a cruise to the moon.

[lanzer]

Obviously cost is a factor, but the two main factors need to be discussed is that his company’s stock had dropped in value, about 50% since its height, and the cost of the program had risen by 50% because of the yen falling in value.

[Lickymaballs]

I said last time you posted about maezawa canceling that he doesn't have the money for the launch and now you have mentioned it.

[jovianr]

Space worms, he was worried about giant space worms.

[dhickey]

I don't buy a ticket five years in advance on a craft that doesn't yet exist. Watching rockets blow up on the pad or burn up on reentry has a way of reducing excitement as well.

[MichaelWinter-sslx]

A much under price prestige mission, in return for the early trust, is not a too far out concept.
🚀🏴‍☠️🎸

[entropiated]

The fact that Maezawa couldn't grasp the idea that there would need to be extensive testing before sending a ship full of non-astronauts around the moon is simply flabbergasting. Even NASA wants him to demonstrate IT TWICE before they'll put trained astronauts on it. So to expect that to be done so quickly is ridiculous and makes me wonder about his mental state.

[tmuny]

I can't wait until SpaceX shows the mockup of the crew cabin and life support systems that they were going to need to have people on board. I'm thinking any day now they'll reveal pictures of the inside of this beautiful ship when it's human rated !

[RockinRobbins]

Presenting an opinion, even a very plausible opinion as fact in the title is dishonest clickbait. I think there is a probability you are right.

However we don't know that Maezawa would pay any increase in costs SpaceX incurs. He may have had an agreement for a fixed price and so was completely insulated from those increased costs. With that in place, SpaceX may have gone to Maezawa and said that if the mission was to proceed additional payment would be necessary. But we don't know that. We can only guess, as you have.

Therefore, stating as a fact that you know the *REAL reason SpaceX Dear Moon was canceled* is false. Your guess still sounds like the best guess we have.