Russia plans to annex Belarus by 2030

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A leaked document alleges a #Russian plan to annex #Belarus by #2030 with the ultimate objective being a 'union state'.

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[CaspianReport]

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[maninredhelm]

Belarus got exactly one legitimate election in its history, and picked Lukashenko. And the guy who finished second place was the more pro-Russian candidate. They never had a chance.

[johnxina]

Nice take and reporting on Belarus, but my theory is that Putin needs Belarus for various strategic tasks, such as laundering money, getting & trading goods, etc. in order to overcome sanctions as well as gathering intelligence.
Putin is not in a hurry to officially annex Belarus quite yet, it seems he owns it already.

[fa]

"Sometimes, a well-placed pawn can be more powerful than a King". A superb footnote. Brilliant, Caspian Report.

[charlescloudy]

Don't fall for it. This investing in paintings is just another NFT.

[nabeelahmedkhanofficial]

I dont think Russia will be trying to annex Belarus at such a point in its history. Russia needs Belarus for mutiple reasons; to keep trade going, to manuver sanctions and to use it as a proxy vessel in grand game of power politics.

[OldClassicGamer]

Lukashenko is a political genius who always had time on his side and oversaw downfall of many of his friends who originally refused to take his advice (He offered S-300 to Milosevic but he refused saying it would be provocation for NATO but ironically, not having S-300 is what allowed NATO to bomb Belgrade without fear, he told Gaddafi not to abandon nuclear program but he did so in order to try to improve relations with the West only to end up murdered, he told Sargsyan to negotiate with Azerbaijan about Nagorno-Karabakh but Sargsyan refused only to end up overthrown in color revolution, he also oversaw in Kazakhstan what can happen if old president chooses unfaithful successor).

Because of that, he should not be underestimated and I think he knows exactly what he is doing. I am confident that he will outlive Putin politically unless killed which is also unlikely due to security precautions he takes.

[Symon_Musician]

As a Belarusian I wouldn't be so pessimistic on the future of our country. Our ties with Russian are based on policital relationship between Lukashenkp and Putin and I'm 100% convinced that when one of them will be not in power these ties will be revised. Annexetion of Belarus could be rather expensive for Russia because Russia will be obliged to take the burden of economical support while now several billions of USD per year is enough. In case of annexation Russia will face new international santions. You may mention that they don't work and Russia doesn't care about them, but all neighbours of Russia will be shocked and ready to restrain connections with Russia (I mean Kazakhstan, first of all).
At this moment Russia has stuck in Ukraine and nobody knows what will be the outcome of the war. Since 2020 crisis in Belarus Russia restrained our military and international sovereignty and I think at this moment it's enough for her.

[EverlastGX]

We are basically witnessing the end of buffer states in Europe as each of these countries clearly pick their side.

[StrangeLoops]

Poland's military build up makes total sense looking through this prism.

[shannonkohl]

Annexing Belarus would increase NATO / Ukraine's border with Russia. Yes, but given that Belarus allowed Russians to attack Ukraine from their country, it seems to be a meaningless change from the viewpoint of NATO / Belarus. In other words, we already have to assume that Russia may attack from Belarus and therefore treat Belarus as if it were Russia.

[mrDM]

In a way this is already a fait accompli, from the moment Belarus agreed to have russian armies in its territory when Ukraine posed zero threat to Belarus.

[krishnar]

I'm a bit confused about the language/culture part. I've met many Belarussians and even the more nationalist/anti-Russian ones tend to be far more fluent in Russian than Belarussian. My experience was that their relationship to the Belarussian language is roughly like the Irish and Gaelic, they learn it out of a sense of pride/nationalism but don't use it much. Even 30 years ago media, culture, etc. from Russia dominated, and it has only increased so I'm not sure how much more exactly the Russian government would need to add.

[akmalhafiz]

I always like Shirvan last quote. Originally, the quote is basically like this, "A well placed pawn, is better than a king." Shirvan version is, "A well placed pawn, can be more powerful than a king." I like that.

It's basically describe the situation Lukashenko has put himself into.

[MichaelSidneyTimpson]

Lukashenko was like, "haha, this Yeltsin guy is a push-over, then I can be the ruler of a combined Russia!", then Yeltsin resigns, making a former KGB agent the President, and Lukashenko was like, "uh oh, oops...what did I just do..."

[luiul]

me: lukashenko looks like a husky fella.

putin: will he fit through a window?

[vorynrosethorn]

This is one of the most hilarious 'do by this year' government plans I've ever heard of.

[kodekorp]

Its funny how masterworks is promoted everywhere, no one realizes they are NFTs lol

[danpate]

Yours is comfortably one of the best channels on this platform. Thanks for the insights!

[Duron]

Me playing Belarus on Conflict of Nations and annexing Russia at the moment.