The 2024 Hurricane Season Is Waking Up (Tropics Update)

After a quiet stretch behind hurricane Beryl, the 2024 hurricane season is about to wake up. In this tropics update the 2024 hurricane season is likely to pick back up during the first week of August.

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Chapters
00:00: Intro
01:07: Active Hurricane Pattern Coming In August
02:50: Tropical Update
04:40: What Is The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)
05:24: MJO Forecast
08:36: Model Forecast For First Week Of August
11:50: Saharan Dust Forecast
12:47: Tropics Watch Newsletter
13:30: Follow Me On Social Media

Subscribe to @just_weather for more weather content and weather analysis.

[just_weather]

It looks like the Atlantic is going to wake up rather quickly during the first week of August. This unfortunately was predicted in the spring. More ion why in the video. Be safe, friends! - Jonathan

[CherylDailyNews]

Jonathan, I so adore u and watch u diligently - love so much how well u explain weather - can't thank u enough. I procrastinate but it's time to take photos and document our home inventory for insurance purposes - just in case. God's continued blessings and protection for all of us. Thanks so very much. 🙏🏻😍🙏🏻🤗🙏🏻

[Lucian-tfyf]

Thanks again weather man ur indeed updated early thank u

[chuckcummins]

True to thought ... it is what it is ... We've been relaxed, maybe a bit too much after Beryls rampage through the Caribbean ... ... especially since Bim is still cleaning up in the aftermath ... thanks as always for your constant expertise!

[MaxTooney]

You make this so easy to understand -- and I appreciate that you explain WHY you form your opinions. Great breakdown!

[mnjaguar]

On Saturday, I am going to Roatan, the Caribbean island of Honduras. I will there till mid-August, so I am crossing my fingers. After a bad drought in the dry season, Honduras is now having an over-active rainy season. Thanks, La Niña!

[SkyDreamer]

I'm currently studying meteorology and atmospheric science in California. I appreciate the emphasis on the importance of listening to forecasters. Professionals in the field don't just make predictions out of thin air; their expertise is based on years of research in climatology, analysis of historical data, which is then understood by a multitude of models, and consideration of current conditions. I'd rather be over-prepared for severe weather than ignore the warnings and risk being unprepared to protect myself and my family.

[maryaventura]

Jonathan, thank you for a great reporting. It's very important for us in So Florida to know what is coming our way,

[maggieg]

Jonathan thank you again, you do such a great job explaining complex systems so non-scientists (like me) can digest it lol. In Boca, so this season I’ll be following your channel closely!!

[molonlave]

Please no more hurricanes for Houston, I am fortunate to get power back after 3 1/2 days.

[dannyvestal]

Really hope these hurricanes in the future dont give the U.S. the blues too much! Beryl was enough. Thanks for the info! Liked and Subbed!👍🏼

[americanadreaming]

Since we live a mile and a half off the Gulf, I'll be tuned in all season. Leaving a comment for the algorithm. Thanks for the concise, data driven forecast.

[ashtonamazing]

Im Located in the south east of Florida This is concerning I will definitely be on gaurd. Thanks for this update

[stacyharvey]

Hurricane season isn't in full swing yet. It lasts till the end of November. Hurricane Beryl was just the Atlantic clearing its throat, hurricane season is far from over!

[cynthiahester]

For Hurricane season, God told me that the hurricanes are supposed to go around us but not hit us, I live in Oakland Park Florida! God is always right when he talks to me!😊

[kennycarter]

could the mjo but a sinking air mass with good timing in early to mid sept?

[alemdevp]

I am from the DR, is a hurricane or tropical storm likely to land here in the next month? Looking at the recent forecast they seem a bit concerning. Thanks before hand 😊

[pwneruknowit]

I've been watching the MJO for a while. It doesn't seem to have as much green in it as it did a week or two ago. Just an observation, I don't know much about it but I'm trying to learn.
EDIT: In the Caribbean and Atlantic

[jenihansen]

Nice to see you again Jonathan. Thank you for your wonderful reporting on weather conditions.

[ashrithreddy]

I see after a very quiet end to July beginning of August will pick back up ready to go in preparation for hurricane season.