The Fed Will Cut Rates - Then Hike MUCH Higher

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TIMECODES
0:00 Intro
1:10 US Debt to GDP Ratio
2:51 Where Are We Right Now?
6:11 How to Protect Yourself

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I am not a CPA, attorney, or licensed financial advisor and the information in these videos shall not be construed as tax, legal, or financial advice from a qualified perspective. Linked items may create a financial benefit for Heresy Financial.
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Theres no way the debt to gdp number goes down. they cant deleverage at this point because its compound interest on bigger and bigger numbers. The debt will go exponential then collapse. its just math.

toddkobylarz
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in the 40s and 50s we were not burdened by a useless dollar. We were pegged to gold and respected as the reserve currency. This is changing. Look at Japan to see our future.

eekblom-ntsh
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Comparing charts from the 40's through 80's cannot be used today. We had silver being used daily, external gold standard, less government socialist programs and more sound government leaders. Today we have a global fiat system with massive government programs with leaders pushing MMT.

realchurch
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Economic Ninja said the exact same thing. A couple small cuts, then after the election, Rate hikes when inflation skyrockets again.

domdesant
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History may rhyme, but it doesn't repeat. 80 years ago America actually manufactured things.

JoeMama
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I'm so old I remember talk of the "Pivot" two years ago summer of 2022 during that nice little July rally.

vdanger
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They will choose inflation. There’s way too much debt in the system. This isn’t the 70s.

WLLim_
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OMG so many predictions for the last 3 years from you, and all into hell, I am still waiting for this big deflation that was "sure" in 2023 according to you...

marcing
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If you look at all recession as in financial recessions, you can see they cut rates 9/30 and on 10/28 the crash begins and by 072025 it will hit its lowest.

iamjungle
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As a saver I say, Let the rates go to the moon 🙏😀🙏💓🎉

JohnDaniels
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Hallelujah The daily jesus devotional has been a huge part of my transformation, God is good 🙌🏻🙌🏻. I was owing a loan of $49, 000 to the bank for my son's brain surgery, Now I'm no longer in debt after I invested $11, 000 and got my payout of $290, 500 every month…God bless Mrs Susan Jane Christy ❤️

HaleyStevenson-dbje
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Interest rates wont go up much sinply because the government cannot afford the interest payments.

therealscot
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I have been saying since like 2021/2022.. Fed needed to raise interest rates and then keep them stable at a higher number (about where we are now)..
We need deflation in the markets most affected by credit.. (Auto, housing, etc). It won't even be that prices go down, it just won't increase as much relative to inflation..

The fact anyone thinks they should cut interest rates is just naive and I think everyone should expect and HOPE that these interest rates are here to stay.

Lolatyou
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As of March of '23. I have been positioning myself financially to remove debt at the highest rate possible in order to lower my prices next spring. This is an unheard of move in this day and age. Who is lowering their prices. I believe it will crush my competition and secure my business for years to come, maybe generationally.

pristinedetailing
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And if we need to finance a war effort? (Which is looking more plausible every day) What happens to the debt/GDP ratio? The last time it was 120% was due to financing WWII (as you said). Do our adversaries see our ballooning debt and say “they’re broke, now’s the time to act”. What options do we have then? Could that cause hyperinflation?

timothymayo
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I am predicting the 10 year UST is going to hit 6%+ in the next 24 months. It is currently trading at 4.10% and will probably hit 3.xx% in the near future. But this is a result of massive "rate cut optimism".. The long end of the curve is seeing massive bond buying demand from traders that are RENTING those bonds with zero intentions to hold them to maturity. These traders are arbitraging the inverse relationship between bond price and yield, and they are currently making money doing that. But what happens when inflation starts to "come in hotter than expected"? That will create uncertainly for future rates and all this "rental" demand for bonds goes away. This huge reduction in "rental" demand for longer dated bonds will cause yields to spike to find "non-arbitrage" buyers that really want to buy and hold 10, 20 and 30 year debt like psychopaths.

jonathantaylor
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Rate Hikes, Rate Pause, Rate cuts, recession, deflation, then hyperinflation, then rate hikes....rinse and repeat

johnsmithee
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The USA can’t afford its interest rate

beachbumLifestyle
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Note how the inflation was going down as they raised rates. Then they paused, inflation slowing stopped. Keep doing what was lowering inflation. Raising rates will slow inflation, but it’s an election year so they’ll prop up the economy because the fed knows recessions will get the other part elected automatically.

ryaj
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I look at it like this. The market has been artificial. Raising interest rates to historical normal levels (between 6% - 10%) allows for a proper correction of prices / values of Real Estate over time. Mortgage rates below 5% may never happen again. Some areas will have a big drop in prices. Such as a residential home in a common area. Or others are holding value because they are highly desired area. I think it is smart to wait and see at this time and just be ready.

JohnSmith-jhlg