Why the Fed isn't confident about cutting rates

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The Federal Reserve held interest rates in June, announcing the decision after its FOMC meeting last week. While rates remain higher for longer, are there any signals as to when the Fed will start cutting rates?
There's still hope among experts that the Fed is still considering two rate cuts. Minneapolis Fed CEO and President Neel Kashkari believes it is "reasonable" that the Fed could wait until December — after the 2024 election — to begin cutting.
Former Chicago Fed President and CEO Charles Evans joins Market Domination to talk about the Fed's monetary policy outlook and what it will take for officials to start cutting rates while keeping on the path to their inflation target.
"The FOMC has been talking uniformly about how they need more confidence... They are not very detailed, they are not detailed at all in what it takes in order for them to become more confident," Evans explains, adding:
"And so, it's this, currently, somewhat opaque process as to how many good inflation reports are they going to need to see before they say, 'okay, I think we're finally going to get down to 2.' They have the benefit of a strong economy right now — the unemployment rate is 4%, historically that's quite low, and the funds rate's at 5.3%. And they must be asking themselves, 'why should I cut rates early until I absolutely know that I'm going to get down to 2?'
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Ironically, if they try too hard to avoid seeming political - they could end up delaying action BECAUSE of politics.

ChadBlevins
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Interest rates right now, are actually a bit below average for the last 30 years. They kept them way too low, for way too long and that is the real reason we are seeing inflation. It has nothing to do with the president unless you consider which one pushes low rates for his personal profit.

MrTom-klhy
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Our peak era has passed, with 401(k)s struggling during the recession. My $750K retirement portfolio is shrinking due to inflation, and I fear our leaders are repeating the mistakes of the past. If rising costs worry you about your retirement, I empathize. The American elections are bringing uncertainty with chaotic foreign policies, regulations, and energy strategies.

biankabrodeur
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Why was the FED buying 80-100B of Treasuries every month throughout 2021?? They are always overreactioary and late.

WanderingExistence
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Don’t think they raised them enough for political reasons.

Ultrajamz
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Surprised Canada dropped 25 pts recently. Bad move

dynomax
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The GLOBAL GAMBLING CASINO
aka the Stock Market

All that ails the planetary civilization started with predatory capitalism and the betting parlors in the City of London

lemontadams
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Unemployment isn’t high enough, that’ why.

alexdasliebe
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If the fed wants to avoid a madman abandoning taxes and replacing them by tariffs, the fed should cut rates from september onwards

VonKirda
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I was against Trump until these beaucrats decided to keep the status quo. Trump said he would fire the head of the Fed and now I’m with him. This is an outrage. Normal Americans need help desperately

jjgreen