Deglobalization: The US Navy's Withdrawl as Global Protector || Peter Zeihan

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If you've read my latest book, you know that a driving force behind deglobalization is the US Navy stepping away from its role as patroller of the world's oceans.

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#maritime #trade #geography #geopolitics
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Peter just to clarify, it wasn’t until recently that the US Navy has pulled the CSG’s out of the Middle East. I was involved when the last CSG heading to the Gulf was turned around in the IO before chopping into C5F in September 2021. They were reassigned to SCS to monitor the Chinese and provide a presence. You are correct, since then it’s been primarily ARG’s and for short periods just a handful of CG’s/DDG’s patrolling in the Gulf. I have spent the last 17 years in Asia/Middle East working for the Navy. Pretty much everything you’ve been saying regarding the Navy and it’s changing role in providing maritime security to international commerce on the high seas is spot on.

Scott-ruev
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"Empires do not suffer emptiness of purpose at the time of their creation. It is when they have become established that aims are lost and replaced by vague ritual."-Frank Herbert

nathandanner
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When the Middle East is colluding with russia to fix oil prices and expecting their shipping to be automatically protected well ……that’s another issue

bigmanDOTS
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I'm a bit dubious of the exact way this is stated. It's unlikely the USA would pull out of all areas immediately, more likely it would just have some particular areas that it would stop having much interest in. As is kind of suggested by Zeihan here as well.

The reason is that while Zeihan waves over supply chain breaks as some thing the USA could just ignore, it actually really can't. The USA has a variety of highly important supply chains itself globally that it can not just ignore, like for instance the semiconductor supply chains covering Europe-USA and part of Asia.

Still from this you can kind of guess which areas of the world they might become less interested.

Quickshot
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Thanks, Peter. I enjoy getting these well informed updates. And they seem to be relatively objective. Good find having found your channel.

SkeenCharles
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I've read all four of your books. You've changed how I look at several issues. I've become a more critical thinker. Before I never thought of Geography and Demographics, and their consequences. Any new books coming out soon? Keep the books and videos coming. Keep up the good work.

philipmiller
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Glad I found this channel, you break things down so simply for such complex issues. Love wherever it may be you film these as well, looks like you found your paradise.

geanyuss
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The world is going to find out what the saying "be careful what you wish for" really means

Justan
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I was in the U.S. Navy 87-93 and got to witness the fall of the Soviet Union. I have mixed emotions about this. The Navy has changed dramatically since I was in and several other NATO countries now also patrol the most pirate infested waters. Maybe the lack of our dominance will change some attitudes about what the US actually brings to the table. The problem, I believe, is that it might come at an unexpectedly high cost. Short term - bad. Long term - could be positive. I guess we'll see...

nugmit
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It’s really great when Peter provides not just optimistic analysis like this, but also actual actionable ways forward so that we can all take the necessary steps to adapt. I feel so confident now!

phueal
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I would love to hear Peter's advice for individuals in North America on what we can do to prepare for the coming changes. I know that might be a big ask as it probably depends on individual factors, but are there investments to consider, should you rent or own a home, and what commodities are going to become more difficult to aquire? Thanks so much for these videos. You're making sense of the mixed messages our biased media sends us.

someguy
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I watch everyone of this guys Info Vlogs. He is not always right but he is right more often than most talking heads out there. This man is a genius on global affairs and economics period.

mrcobbynot
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This is my favorite background of the week, thanks fer being U Peter!!!

SpaceCafeCanada
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As a former naval sailor, i happily cosign this state of affairs. Spending several months at a time away from your family andbfriends becomes all the more intolerable when you recognize how capable host nations are of protecting their own waters.

MsDragonbal
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I think the first thing that's going to happen is that 'Flags of Convenience' are going to become a thing of the past. Pirates or even countries are probably going to think twice about messing with a commercial ship flying flags from countries that can reach out and touch them, but nobody's going to worry about the fury of Liberia or Panama.

Odin
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In Peter's "Accidental Superpower" book he predicted 3 wars that will lead to the end of globalization.
#1) Ukraine-Russia is already in full force.
#2) "The Next Gulf War", seems to be on the field and warming up for kick-off.
So that still leaves
#3) The Tanker War (in the south china sea)

We here should start a betting pool on when #3 kicks off.
I'll start. One year from today. Oct. 2024. :)

alansnyder
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What Peter is saying is that Pirates will become the next hot new career!

benz
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I'm new to your channel, and over the last month have enjoyed several of your episodes. I enjoy learning about geopolitics, but have never found a source that delivered it without bias or an agenda. Thanks for your content. I'm learning a lot.

NateWoodbury
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I think we should continue protecting our allies, and cease protecting our enemies. I think ceasing to protect our enemies is a smart thing to do. It Just Makes Sense!😀☝

bonanzatime
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For decades they’re screaming, “USA GET OUT OF (fill in blank)! Oh, OK. Good luck with that.

smackroscoe