Russia mobilizing 300,000 troops - Referendums across 4 regions | Nuclear Threats | Withdrawal Scam

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I don't get why people are freaking out about the Russian punishment for desertion or refusing orders. In the US during wartime, the death penalty is still a possibility for desertion. Every country has harsh punishments during war for desertion, this isn't just a Russian thing.

-Zevin-
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Please, listen to Putin once again. He uses logic and he is very clear. He didn't say that he'll use nukes against Ukraine. He said "read nuclear doctrine", in doctrine nukes can be used as retaliation against someone else's nukes and in case Russia is near such a scale of collase that it can't answer to aggression. Ukraine will not lead Russia to this state of collapse. But, if other countries of the NATO interfere, there may come the time that Russia's defeat may become imminent - and then tactical nukes may be used. Putin specifically said that "you try something funny, I'm not bluffing, meaning, that if they stay away, he won't use nukes

NTraveller
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This conflict is going to last longer than we thought, but also end sooner than expected...

magnithorsson
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Saw it coming from 200 miles away. Ukraine got Russia mad

kingwoods
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Greetings commander, thank you for the update! :)

PlacidDragon
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This is going to be a very interesting winter.

arnantphongsatha
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Loved your analysis . Great video again ! Thank you !

olivieryeung
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Jeśli Rosja faktycznie zmobilizuje te 300 000 żołnierzy, odpowiednio ich wyposaży oraz doszkoli, to nie widzę sposobu aby Ukraina mogła tą wojnę wygrać. Myślę, że w max 3 miesiące po przybyciu tych dodatkowych wojsk Ukraina skapituluje.

romanromanowski
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Proper context need to be noted, Russia announce the Ukraine as Special Military Operation(SMO) which is not a declaration of war under Russia law as remember Ukraine Donbass region that the Russians are involved in is not Russian territory hence it is a grey area operated under SMO guidelines.
U need to understand that the world doesnt work in simple terms that war just means u send troops into an area and there is no law and order of how the combatants engage in this war etc..
Also there is an economic impact for any large scale mobilization of troops since Russian has only around half a million of regular troops from army, navy, air force etc..
I would add that the SMO is fought mainly by DPR/LPR etc.. and supported by Russian volunteers and contracts like the Wagner, Chechens, etc.. as the backbone.
Now with this mobilization there is more resources for Russia to hold and defend territory gain and also enough for assaults in light of the Ukrainian forces and their reserves trained by EU/UK/NATO/etc..
Hopefully this mobilization of more troops will end the conflict sooner once most of the southern part of Ukrainian is in Russian hands and once Kiev is threaten and probably will be taken for the war to end. Worst case scenario is that Russia has to take the whole of Ukrainian than form a government with what left of Ukraine than the war will officially end.
There will probably be 2 or 3 phases where the first phase is complete liberation of the areas covered by the referendum and Phase 2 includes taking of Odessa and also coming under Russian territory than Phase 3 is the complete takeover of Ukraine if Kiev does not surrender and end the conflict. This is going to be potential for WW3 if Russia does takeover the whole of Ukraine not sure if Poland and other EU countries bordering Ukraine will react and how NATO/US will react!!!

albertwong
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Do we have any estimation of how many more troops Ukraine is able to mobilize at this point? If Ukraine is basically maxed out at this point and can't deploy any more, then this could be a major deciding factor in Russia's favor, but if Ukraine is able to keep mobilizing and maintain their numerical advantage, then this might be too little too late for Russia.

retardicusrichards
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If you mobilize only 1 percent of your reserves - you're not facing existential threat.

TeoBlu
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25 million is far more than the Soviet army at the height of WW2. Not a chance, no point mentioning.
Going to be tough to equip/deploy 300, 000.

TheBlahhhhhhhhhhh
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I allways die when you say This is Defense Politics A-SHIAHHH, so epic! Or level od DANJAHH is also good!

DvSerious
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In the mean time this is a SMO 2.0 however, its upgrade is inevitable due to the nature of what is about to take place between 23rd to 27th of this month,

jamesmulei
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Before tsunamis hit the tide goes way down, and there's always a people who don't realize what is about to come, who walk out onto the beach.

By the time they realize a tsunami is coming it's too late and all they can do is stare in terror as the massive swell of water comes to end them.

undeadpresident
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I see a big winter offensive coming as Europe sits in the cold and dark.

finscreenname
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75% of Russians support the special operation. If Russia really has 25 million manpower that can be mobilized as Sojgu said, it means that around 18 million Russians would fight against Ukraine if received a draft. I think this 300, 000 it's only the beginning, the 1st wave of mobilization, but if the results are not coming they will not stop and mobilize even more.

alfredwhite
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the reservists are likely to provide garrisons for rostov, kursk or Belgorod and replace professional troops.

larrousseyves
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Would not call it a scam tho’ more like a feint
Thanks for the analysis! 👍

ajisenramen
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Putin has not said that he would use nuclear weapons to defend Kherson.
He prefaced his remark by mentioning threats by Western leaders to deploy WMD, and the shelling of a nuclear power plant.
Short of tactile nuclear weapons or biological/chemical weapons the Russians will not use the nuclear arsenal.

johanrebel