my final 2023 oscar predictions

[ACasualTrevor]

I was really disappointed to see Pinocchio (2022) didn’t get more love. But hey, at least Pinocchio (2022) was nominated for best animated film. Luckily, Pinocchio (2022) is nowhere near any other categories because it was terrible.

[hustlehosh]

It's insane how Decision To Leave didn't get nominated for best editing

[antidotes]

if babylon doesn't get best score the night's over for me ngl

[jasonguarnieri]

This is the first time in a long time where I can't really object to any of the winners or the nominees.
2022 was a great year for movies.

[saifmahmudishtiakshushaan]

My personal Oscar picks (not predictions)
Picture: Tár/Banshees
Director: Field/McDonagh
Actor: Butler
Actress: Blanchett
Supporting actor: Keoghan
Supporting Actress: Hsu
Original screenplay: Tár/Banshees
Adapted screenplay: AQOTWF/Women Talking
International feature: AQOTWF
Documentary: All that breathes
Animated feature: Pinocchio
Score: Babylon
Song: Naatu naatu
Cinematography: Bardo/ AQOTWF
Editing: Top Gun Maverick/ EEAAO
Production design: Babylon
Costumes: Wakanda Forever/ EEAAO
Makeup/Hair: The Whale
VFX: Avatar 2
Sound: Top Gun Maverick
Haven't watched all the nominees of live action short, documentary short and animated short so no comment on those.

[clementinepoppy]

The sound design for The Batman is criminally underrated

[leviturner]

Everything Everywhere all at once winning is important because for the last 20 Years, The Oscars have only really highlighted The Weinstein Style of Oscar Bait that he produced and presented specifically for these awards. This would be a fresh start alongside movies like moonlight to break that.

[sphmoran]

I totally agree with your predictions: Austin, Cate and Kerry for the top acting awards. Good analysis.

[MaryElizabeth]

I really want Michelle Yeoh to win Best Actress. She's been overlooked for years, and it would be an amazing (and long overdue) moment of representation at the Oscars. Cate Blanchett's performance is great, but like you said, she already has two Oscars to her name. I would much rather see Yeoh win Best Actress than the Daniels win Best Director or EEAAO win Best Picture (although I'm sure it will win).

[parmesan]

Nope should’ve been nominated for best sound design because that was the best sound design I’ve seen all year

[yoboinicossman]

So glad to see some love for Ice Merchants!! Breathtakingly animated, and I hope it wins!!

[beatrizgaspar]

ice merchants is the first portuguese film to be nominated at the oscars, im glad its getting some hype out there

[aspacelex]

I think Jamie Lee Curtis is gonna take it, she's a classic case of "they've been around forever, we love them, and they peaked last year".

[christineelio]

Austin Butler did more than an amazing. Gave up almost 3 years of his life preparing Elvis through 3 decades. His got high praises from Denzel and all the Presleys. That speaks volumes.

[zjgoat]

Our Oscar predictions are basically the same except I think yeoh wins best actress because the narrative that has arisen around her is making it impossible not to give it to her

[rahulvinalnarayan]

My predictions:

Best Picture - Everything Everywhere All At Once

Best Director - Daniels for Everything Everywhere All At Once

Best Actress - Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

Best Actor - Austin Butler (Elvis)

Best Supporting Actress - Kerry Kondon (The Bandhees of Inisherin)

Best Supporting Actor - Key Huy Kuan (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

Original Screenplay - The Banshees of Inisherin

Adapted Screenplay - Women Talking

International Feature Film - All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany)

Cinematography - All Quiet on the Western Front

Production Design - Babylon

Make-up & Hairstyle - The Whale

Costume Design - Elvis

Film Editing - Everything Everywhere All At Once

Original Score - Babylon

Original Song - “Naatu Naatu” (RRR)

Sound - Top Gun: Maverick

Visual Effects - Avatar: the way of Water

Animated Feature Film - Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio

Documentary Feature - Navalny

Documentary Short - The Elephant Whisperers

Animated Short - Ice Merchants

Live-Action Short - An Irish Goodbye

[jlpsaxophonist]

I need Cate Blanchett to win, Tár was incredible.

[WaterMeLoan]

After seeing Brendan Fraser in ‘The Whale’, I now continue to question why David Zaslov & Warner Bros. Discovery thought that canceling the Batgirl movie was a good idea. I might make my own YouTube Video on this topic...

[MinThant]

I've watched both Tar and EEAAO and I disagree that Cate delivered a better acting performance than Michelle Yeoh because Cate's performance is quite predictable trying to hit all the points to win the oscar. It's kinda the typical boring oscar-baiting dramatic acting performance. It doesn't mean that her performance is sh*tty because she's an established well-experienced A-list actress who doesn't need to prove herself anymore. Still, if we are to judge Cate Vs Michelle performance in this particular case, I believe that Michelle Yeoh did have an edge over Cate because Michelle Yeoh's performance delivers a non-conventional variety of emotions and full of soul, not caring about what typical oscar-baiting stereotypical performance looks like.

[anon-qpwj]

I think a lot of people are over-indexing on “narrative” when talking about Michelle Yeoh. SAG has always focused a lot on narrative especially since merging with AFTRA and thus expanding the voting pool to non-filmmakers. However the Academy voting pool is quite different and historically voters have been driven less by narrative. I expect this to go the same way BAFTAs did.
Additionally, Academy voters have been known to spread the love (i.e not vote for the same movie across all categories), and currently EEAAO has a lock on pretty much every other category besides best actress ( I think they will get supporting actress too). I hypothesize that a lot of voters saw best actress as the only chance to break the EEAAO streak and “spread the love”.