probably a probability problem #maths

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[timgove]

I'm bothered by the wording. Shouldn't it have been "three times as likely?" After all, if it was one time more likely, wouldn't that mean twice as likely? "Three times more likely" ought to mean four times as likely.

[allmight]

Can you explain how you calculated those probabilities

[steamunlocked]

So you probably solved a problem probably on probability, but I probably could not understand it well. Is it okay if you re-explain it ? Probably it is