Ten years ago, I predicted 2022. Did I get it right?

Predicting the future is a fool's errand, but I tried it: talking about phones, lifelogging, and social changes. And on top of that: what do I think's coming in 2032?

2012 photo credits:

Thanks to Garry, Alex and K for suggesting this video!

(you can find contact details and social links there too)

[TomScottGo]

And yes, to avoid the obvious comments: I have aged in the last ten years. It'll happen to you, too. And it's better than the alternative!

[Patterrz]

I can't imagine a world without YouTube, where would I procrastinate all day to avoid my responsibilities??

[TinkerManMick]

I was dreaming of wireless headphones when I was skateboarding as a teenage kid. In my 30's now and the dream has finally come true. 😁

[ProphecyGaming.]

petition for tom scott to come back from retirement in 2032 and react to this

[noahpog]

He was actually right about Apple wanting people to record their entire lives. One of the big "selling points" of the Apple Vision Pro is being able to record your life and "relive" memories. He was just a year off

[pietro]

"Our phones will record everything we say."
Tom : "Ah, I got this one wrong".
Facebook and Google that are listening to send you ads : sigh of relief

[CallemJayNZ]

I really like how you have no issue admitting where you were wrong, it's humbling and serves as an example to a few of us, myself included 😊

[meme-xnpo]

The fact that he was right in the way that short form videos are now really skyrocketing in popularity is making my heart ache.

[lachc]

There’s 3 rules in predicting tech.
1. The laws of physics never change
2. Average consumers will always prefer simplicity (abstraction) over performance.
3. Technology can never solve social problems on it’s own.

[jamppamaattori]

That prediction that the world will increasingly focus more and more on short-form videos was one of the most depressing things I've heard in a while.

[heatherprincipe]

If Google decides to "shut down this old product" I don't care. I would miss someone like you. You're intelligent and genuine and humble.

[alexia]

Holy crap it's only been 10 years that our entire lives have been mobile? How... did that feel embedded, like breathing, so quickly?

[logicturtle]

Back around 2005-2006 I remember seriously wishing there was some way I could get the internet into a car so that I could listen to internet radio there. If you want to know what's going to happen in the next 3 or 4 years in tech, just ask a teenager what's missing.

[Mahmoud.Kiblawi]

Tom don’t worry, looking back at your past self and being embarrassed is something we can all relate to

[geznicks]

It does give me some confidence watching stuff like this, that probably the dystopian predictions we have won't come true

[NobleNobbler]

I love the honesty in the failures. We need more of that!

[based_oregano]

I would say that the whole "iLife" prediction actually ended up being right in the watered down form of Snapchat stories and Instagram stories. I still get notifications to this day of a "memory" from 6 years ago.

[andyyymp]

I can't believe 2012 was ten years ago... life really seems to go by faster and faster as you grow up. Ten years. Wow.

[gerthddyn]

I thought of this original video more as a warning tale. Kind of a shorter term 1984. The fact that we haven't gone where you feared completely is a good thing for humanity as a whole.

[helmerkappert]

Appreciating your intention to share many failures in how difficult it is to predict the future..well done i hope to be able to see your next 10year prediction..thanks!