5 Mega Risks & The Fed Pivot Disaster | -50.1% to Go.

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⚠️⚠️⚠️#fed #federalreserve #jeromepowell ⚠️⚠️⚠️

Fed Pivot. Massive risks the economy faces.

00:00 The Fed Pivot.
06:01 Risk 1: Hedge Fund Risk.
13:50 Risk 2: Bridgewater Longer Recession.
15:25 Risk 3: Stupid Government.
16:45 Risk 4: China & Taiwan.
17:50 Risk 5: Deglobalization.

Videos are not financial advice.
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Ehh, after ignoring all the clickbait titles for months I finally decided to listen to one in full. I'll sum up all of Meet Kevin's videos in a couple sentences for people like me. Inflation is falling. Fed will pivot. Stocks will rally. Don't use margin, everything will be fine.

SolidNate
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Kevin what you are saying is something cannot break before they pivot causing a collapse into the pivot. No one saw the structural issues in 2007 till after it happened the same thing with 2000. Just like we don’t know what will cause this collapse. The fact is the fed tends to pivot “ONCE” something breaks hence the market falls into the pivot. There are even more risks now than ever why? Look at credit to
Free flowing money. We need to stop living in la la land and understand there are still headwind risks that can lead to a collapse into a fed pivot. No one knew there was a mortgage issue until after the housing collapse. Hence the collapse happened first. A tightening exposes over exposed under collateralized institutions and practices.

williammusser
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Burry: This time is different (Sarcasm)

Kevin: This time is different (Actually Believes it)

MVPTC
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Went 100% cash November 2021 I am not worried one second about my cash position!! You are down huge NOT-ME!!

davidhyatt
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Please Kev, stop with the clickbate titles. Your audience is more sophisticated than that.

Back me up ppl!

markus_stromberg
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This is where the definition of inflation is really important… if you’re defining inflation as general price increases and not the rate at which credit is expanding then you don’t understand the monetary system.

Higher prices without credit expansion (i.e increase in money supply) are not sustainable and will lead to corrections/crashes.

incawarrior
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It’s rather simple… what we see is retail front running the FED… We shall see if this time is different and retail is actually the “smart” money. I personally believe energy costs are going to derail the recovery and increase inflation.

aarone
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I’ll give Kevin this. He is rolling his reputation on the message markets are fine and will not fall after pivot.

Thedailydadcaleb
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You know it’s funny because Kevin was the one who convinced me of this theory a year ago. Now he says it’s stupid. I get it people change their minds… but let’s all just remember nobody has a crystal ball and knows what will happen. We all will have to invest according to what we believe and our own plans.

MVPTC
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Kevin's entire thesis to "this time is different" is based on the feds ability to actually achieve a soft landing.

anthonyfusco
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Keviiin!! VIDEO REQUEST: Compare Gross Margin and Net Profit from EV segments of GM/Chevy, Ford, Kia, VW, Hyundai, Tesla, and BYD!

therealallanjohnson
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I have a better deal buy short indixes and also keep buying your favorite companies, you make $ on the way down while you dollar cost average your favorite companies. Should I open my own YouTube channel ??

alpaccino
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I’m 50/50 on this, but the fact that we’ve dropped so much prior to the pivot unlike historically makes things seem optimistic

cszafarczyk
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You could send infinite money to California, nothing would get fixed. The issue is systemic and the system itself along with the individuals that run it are fundamentally broken. Just like the FED, it's not for any lack of money, they just grossly mismanage it with greed, bloat, embedded corporate interests. Giving more money to the government has rarely ever fixed anything.

jpcreativeimagery
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Fed pivots only when something breaks. Inflation is not going to magically go back to 2%

OptionsAnonymous
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debt crisis will be the black swan event

ChaosCanvas
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People still talking about the Phillips curve when the only known examples of it working were in the mid-late 60s, early 70s?

DivineFrag
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Only Meet Kevin can predict the future of the stock market

wread
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My man Kevin goes MARKET CRASH -50% COMING

Then next video goes oh well we’ve seen the worst and we’re gonna rally

kiba
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Monetary inflation causes malinvestment aka structural problems. This time may not be concentrated into a specific industry like tech and housing.

vincentsamaha