The End of Germany as a Modern Economy || Peter Zeihan

The future of Deutschland is not looking bright. There are three unsolvable problems that will lead to Germany's collapse as a modern economy in the coming 20 - 30 years.

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#germany #collapse #demographic #energy #trade

[baahcusegamer]

This is what I love about Peter. He is so full of optimism for the future.

[michaelpettersson]

For Germany to abandon nuclear power is a pretty much suicidal move.

[franpower]

To be honest, since I moved to Germany a few years ago, I have been shocked at how naive and self destructive their politicians are. To be fair, my own country Ireland has also recently been self destructing somewhat, but German energy policy is a joke. They really needed more Nuclear plants, not less. Cheap energy is at the core of innovation and technology throughout history, Nuclear is carbon free and can deliver. The Green party here seem to be one of the most insane in the EU, polluting their own air by burning coal is so backwards. In daily life German people are generous and friendly, but again sometimes they choose bad company out of naivety. Maybe its related to war trauma. Their media is in a complete bubble of delusion, and their restrictive free speech laws will really start to hurt more, as new jobs and opportunities explode in the online world of podcasts and video entertainment. They will not be free to express their concerns with honesty. I hope the economic problems can be solved, but my God, the naivety about the real world must be confronted.

[johnlonergan]

I'm living in Germany now 31 years and when I came here in 1992 I heard so often from foreign countries that Germany is finished. 31 years later it's still not finished.

[eugen_the_great]

Living in germany, 33 years old, with a wife and three little kids, beeing the sole earner this is really nice to hear.

[anteeko]

I hope this dude will find his way home at some point.

[ArteUltra]

Great to hear as a German in his mid 20s

[robertthomas]

After 46 years in Germany, one thing I learned long ago is, never, ever underestimate Germany. Oh, and after this time also to never, ever overestimate the USA.

[mtbspgl]

Congratulations to Peter Zeihan for successfully predicting 20 of the last 3 crises

[Santino]

I knew Germany was in trouble when BMW started pushing out horrible car designs 😅

[jperin]

Demographics aside, Germans have proven to be quite adaptable. Germany may not continue to be the economic powerhouse it has been, but I wouldn't count them out. The rest of Europe and Russia are facing similar demographic pressure. The tide is rolling out for a good chunk of humanity, and many would rather be in Germany's shoes.

[rayal]

Have you noticed all of his hypotheses for all the countries except the US is all doom and gloom!
The dude is such a state dept asset 😂

[CaptainHM]

I used to teach English at the electricity transmission company of a small European country, and I remember one of the high-level guys I taught there saying that he thought (maybe hoped) that Germany's energy policy was based on some kind of plan that he wasn't smart enough to figure out. This guy was one of the smartest people I've ever met, so yeah, it's all starting to add up.

[MrIinford]

I am also from Germany and take Peter’s prognosis as an encouragement. Yes, there are severe problems coming our way and I am not disputing that picture Peter paints is one possible outcome.
I would however not see it as inevitable.

So thanks Peter for your excellent and thought-provoking analysis. It is now the job of my countrymen and me to prove you wrong ;)
Keep up the good work you’re doing.

[emptytee]

I don’t always agree with Peter’s conclusions, but he always brings together significant and relevant information that it seems like no one else talks about (at least not synergistically). His insights into the workings of the modern international environment and the issues that affect it are unlike any others that I have found — and quite valuable.

[natem]

You were looking down at my house while making this video. Cheers!

[kaeseblock]

As a German in his 30s I say: Tough tasks lie ahead. But such problems are there to be solved. Will it be easy? No. Will we solve it? We have to, one way or another.

I also second what an Italien friend said in the comments here. We need better, more efficient European cooperation including especially a common security policy.

[TheBlackToedOne]

So my question is: is he an extreme hiker who just so happens to pontificate on global macroeconomics while hiking some of the highest elevations in the lower 48, or a global macroeconomist who does his best thinking where the air is thinnest and the physical exertion well above average? Either way, I have a deep appreciation for both. Love how he's able to connect the dots and explain it in a way that even a knuckle dragger like me can understand. I have found myself watching world news from a different perspective now and I actually have an interest in it. Thanks Dr. Zeihan.

[dfaltin]

I’m afraid that this diagnosis is more or less correct. However, having spent some time in the US, including Los Angelos and San Fransisco I have to say that at least parts of the US look like they have reached the end already. Never in an advanced country have I seen such desolation, poverty and decline.

[hartmannt]

As a German-American economist these are thought provoking hypothetical scenarios & somewhat easy to refute. Same with the simplistic views on China or Russia and other countries. Nonetheless my colleagues and I enjoy the stream of consciousness thought provoking scenarios.