Conversation: Tensions Mount in Russian-Turkish Relations

Stratfor Vice President of Global Analysis Reva Bhalla and Eurasia Analyst Lili Bayer discuss increasing friction between Russia and Turkey.

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[unclecreepy]

Great analysis as always.  Hope Reva never leaves...  :)

[BooBoo-pujh]

Lili, thank you for speaking clearly. Great info

[ShinobiHOG]

So, what's the deal with Turkey's power grid? Last I heard after the incident a couple of weeks ago was that they were not ruling out terrorism but haven't seen or heard anything

[oscarm]

Взаимоотношения между Россией и Турцией чисто экономические, выгодные обеим странам... вот и всё.

You know what's funny? Russia close the tatar media channels while it's supporting the pan-turanism from Hungary. I think Turkey and Russia have a positive economical balance and Turkey has the Keys of Bosphorus and they will use this as tool for getting discounts but only if Russia would need to put its naval fleet en-route to Mediteranean sea.. Dunno if i am right, but I really dont understand this topic, Russian-Turkish friction is very complex for my inteligence.. Need some help..

[MehmetAlperKOC]

Is this a joke? The exemplary incidents and moves they offered for the alleged rising tensions in Turkish-Russian relationship are not only weak, but also are really stretch. Turkey will not fully commit itself to Russian or American spheres of influence, or to an imminent Chinese one. Neither of those scenarios offers maximization of the strategic gains, with the current and potential leverage and assets Turkey has and will have.

[joebonsaipoland]

Reva has huge eyes, like theses Indian cartoons!

[choBlastr]

We buy Gas cheapest from Azerbaijan, they are a "brother nation" / our ethnic relatives. In the middle is Russia, who sells it for an ok price but we want it cheaper because we buy a LOT from Russia and then there is Iran, who sells gas at an incredibly high price (they are pretty damn hostile although they won't admit it .. Iran is scared as fuck of a Turkic/Turkish uprising in Iran and hates Turkey having influence in the Middle East etc) 

Iran promised a cheaper price too .. but then they offered us the gas we buy for the same price and a small discount on any new gas we buy from them which is unacceptable. 

I don't think Erdogan will last next election .. he will probably stay in power but definitely lose the majority. The nationalist party will gain a lot of votes, the main opposition will gain some votes and then there is the umbrella party of the BDP (HDP) which is basically the political wing of the PKK. They can't get 10% of the votes which they need to have any power in parliament so they started a new party (HDP) which is supposed to be a ultra leftist party "for all" to try and get some Turkish votes .. some ultra leftists are dumb enough to vote for them but I doubt they will gain any power or pass the 10% mark .. (I also hope they won't)

[HenrykSzlangbaum]

Don't try to steal my waifus, guys.