Have I Finally Found a Betting Strategy That Makes Money?

Join me as I embark on an experiment to determine if laying at odds of 1.01 could be one of the easiest ways to make money Betfair.

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Music by Epidemic sound and...

License ID: JOYbYpAkNd6

Disclaimer: This video is made for informational purposes and is NOT financial advice

[BitcoinandGold]

Kie... This was great. I have wondered 1.01 that for years. Thank you for your time on this

[sportspriceanalysis]

Ive got horse racing data going back to 2014 and a quick check from 773, 174 races produces 85, 166 races where the minimum in play price was 1.01 for a given horse and from this 1, 060 horses then lost. So using £100 and 2% commission you would have staked £85, 166 and won £103, 880 so a net profit of £18, 714. As others have said though there is laying at 1.01 and getting *matched* at 1.01.

[alanhaynes]

Really good video. Live testing something like this is really helpful, thank you for putting the work (and risk) in.

[stuartwallace]

Another fascinating vid Kie, been paid today, so will be patreoning later.
1) i also was confused as to why there was all this money at 1.01. -Now i know.
2) I have been looking at how i can get Automation going, so will be very interested in viewing your vid.
3) You might want to mention that some of the tools you use on BetAngel (such as Soccer Mystic) are only available on BA Pro, and are not on BA Trader which most people (i believe) use (like me !).
1 situation that happened this week was Empoli v Napoli where Napoli were 2 up with 8 mins left, and Empoli ended up winning 3-2 - i wonder what the odds were then?
I wonder what the stats are for 1.02, 1.03 etc?

[g.y.o]

I'd love to see an update video to this if you ever get chance.

[jannatitova]

I was a newbie in trading, but I found your channel and improve my knowledge with you! thx for it

[antskilu]

when odds are 1.02 u can back and then lay at 1.01, difference is 100 points

[Ncis-bkwi]

If u do a 1/1 odds and some football bets that are low odds 1/2-1/3 max u can make a lot more but only bet on matches where it’s a good team vs a terrible team and the good teams at home

[BVking]

That Bruno Guimaraes goal was special, last second diving header, the crowd went wild

[dezyd]

Hi Kie, loved watching your content, it's great quality and all the best with this strategy. I look forward to the update. Also do you need Bet Angel professional or can this be done with BA Trader as well?

[deadcheddar]

Very interesting video. Thank you. Wouldn’t it increase your chance of a match if you laid either Over 3.5 or Over 4.5 goals at 1.01? I too use Bet Angel and it’s automation facility is brilliant but I’m wondering if the choice of market might need tweaking?

[waynecosgrove]

what is your sports trading software you using

[JamesWhaley]

Hi Kie, great video! How has this strategy gone since?

[nickob]

Like your approach, I noticed recently doing the 3.5 market its not uncommon to get 2 goals after 90 mins, so maybe complete capitulation or a gift consolation could be worth looking at as well a the 2.5 market

[valeriovernacotola]

Hi Lai, your method is fantastic. Cam i try this with home score? What do you Think?

[elastronaute]

The data is accurate but the problem is queue position. A lot of those horses that did get matched at 1.01 and went onto lose, never got all the money at 1.01 taken, so some got taken (probably over £100 for it to be verified as being matched at 1.01) but then got beat and so drifted. So even though all those horses got MATCHED at 1.01 it doesn't mean YOU would be matched. Obviously every horse that wins you would be matched because the 1.01 ends up on the lay (offer) side so any money waiting got matched, but in the case of the ones losing, for some proportion of those the money didn't all get taken on the back-side which means some was left on the table so if you didn't get near enough the front of the 'queue' you'd not have been matched. That is the problem with this strategy. Also you need a lot of money because you have to be putting the order on every horse in every race. And then be prepared for variance. You'd have to try tens of thousands of races before you'd know what sort of percentage profit one might expect.

[Blightyboys]

Wow! A man who tests a strategy with 2000 bets not 20 to prove it’s viable, then STILL says that’s not enough to prove anything! 👏

Usually 3 6/4 winners in a row is enough for most tipsters/betting youtubers 😂

A gambling creator who actually understands probability, you’re a diamond in the rough my friend.

[cerimorganphotography]

What software did you use for the u2.5 at 1.01? Completely new to this

[adrianadios]

Draw + 0-0 or 1-1 is my favourite betting strategy by far.

[gareth]

Great video Kie. As you mentioned in your video about the amount of money that’s just sitting at 1.01 . Was Just wondering because unless your lay is in a good position there’s gonna be times where you’d be at the back of the queue? how many times your 1.01 lay won’t get matched in a market that late goals are scored that would have been a profitable trade? Missing out on these will greatly reduce the profit Because there aren’t too many winning trades compared to the loosing ones? Just wondering what your thoughts on these points? Thanks