When Australian House Prices Will Stop Rising

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Financial disclaimer: I am not your financial advisor and the opinions I share in this video are purely my opinions. This is not to be considered personal advice as it is general in nature.

[DavidKokic]

The assumption made is that interest rates will fall. What happens if they go up instead?

[tonytanou]

Provided Australia continues to bring in economically capable people the area that they want houses in will keep going up with it only ending when immigration slows down to a point that gives us a 0 % growth rate. It's the greatest sure thing investment ever. What can go wrong?

[vladislavfeldman]

In the 45 years I have been in Australia, no one has lost money in Sydney long term on real estate. In 1960 Average worker could buy a house in Manly and Vaucluse. In 1970 the average worker could buy a house in Bondi Junction. In 1980 poor Immigrants could buy a terrace in Paddington (prostitutes) and Bankstown, Marrickville. Average workers could afford a house in Bondi, Bronte. In the 90's Average worker could buy houses in Miranda, Brighton Le Sands, Caringbah Sth. Petersham, Leichardt, Rozelle. That way average workers after 30 years become millionares. Currently average workers can afford central coast, woolongong, and in 30 years time the average workers will only be able to afford to live in Newcastle or Dapto. If the government wants to lower house prices in Sydney (and pay more pensions) they can always put on a land tax, like in California.

[MisterX-ersi]

Foreign investors are who brought money the most into Australian property market.
Government doesn't want to stop that cashflow. We will be getting the overpriced properties in Australia untill the government stops that.

[trck]

Not worry all the "overseas skilled labour " to help us out of the housing chrsis 👍

[thaitestautomation]

if anyone wants to save time, just start from ---> 3:22

[vittorianesse]

In Melbourne houses are not selling, being passed in and going for 5-10% under asking, so I don’t know where you’re getting your data from.

[philipmcdonald]

It's time a good majority of us walk into the ocean and accept that its all over then.

[captainkesh]

Property growth against inflation is actually not that great. what gets people ahead is that a bank will lend an average doofus a large chunk of money against a fixed asset. Over 20 years this increases in nominal value. Nobody who owns property accounts for the ongoing costs and inflation. All we are looking at are transaction values. Also it's extremely illiquid look at the drop in listings. Shares can be converted almost instantly to cash and you still have a roof over your head when you do that you don't have to move or look for an inflated asset in an inflated Market. When thinking about investments you need to think about a few other things than just the nominal value of the asset at the point of transacting.

[vittorianesse]

Not in Victoria, mate. It’s been dropping for almost 6 months.

[baits]

The reason building approvals are down is because it's to expensive to buil or buy . I think it's peaked . The avarage person can't afford a greater loan .

[ll-dqij]

That's a good chart, you can clearly see the trend on average is always up, with very few periods of negative growth. It is for sure a gold plated investment.. And there is no fix to this crisis which ever way you look at it as you have pointed out.. Its an onwards and upwards trend.. But it won't end well for those that simply can't afford a roof over there heads..a very sad in this country, basically driven by greed..

[CineTechGeek]

buy buy buy a house and by my book selling you the dream...
this guy is sprooking the market for his own benefit.
the fact is property prices do go down. prices should be going down. its distortions by the gov that are keeping them up at the expense of the young.
low volumes and no building is a sign interest rates are wotking as they should makes prices go down. the import of movey via immigration and the control of land availability via landbankers is keeping supply and demand in a position that prices are still going up is why they are not going down. but the more they distort the market, the bigger the pop when it has to eventually stop.
we are in a bubble, no question.
so buy if you need to and its 10year plus deal you may be ok. otherwise. huge risk right now.
gov will.lose if they down reverse on the distortion. so pop is likely around election. interest holds. immigration dives, and so prices will start the walk down.

[weishi]

The reason behind this recent boom is more due to the high construction cost. The rise of new build price causing all older buildings to be lifted accordingly, especially in undervalued area like Perth, Adelaide, and Brisbane. Once the old building price catch up with the new building, the property price will stop rising.

[massimilianomarrazzo]

In Perth, properties grew up to 70% in just 3 years in some hot suburbs... and this happened with a high interest rate in the last year ...

[tezk]

Interest rates are not higher than they have ever been! False statement buddy. You only have to go back to 2008-2010 to see that interest rates were much higher than they are now.

[jass]

The gravy train is still booming
There is a property guy who's course everyone keeps signing up to and people will keep getting fomo and fomo
Another 2.5 years easy

[brockandrews]

How do you translate what the TBA said? Going down is the next move? 😂 that’s not what they said

[jayc]

Stop telling the agent what your budget is

[vincentlukeperry]

6m 20 sec "interest rates are at the highest they have ever been at" ... Well let me think when was I paying 17.75% oh thats right in 1989 😂. Mate I'm unsure you have have some properties you want to unload, but predicting there prices in 5 or 6 years is a fallacy.