Can The Fed Stop The Bear? | Larry Williams | Real Trading (03.30.20)

In this special edition of Real Trading, veteran trading wizard Larry Williams presents an in-depth discussion of the Federal Reserve System. In addition to walking you through the history of the Fed and describing its primary functions, Larry shares how and why he changed his stance from anti-Fed to a strong proponent of the system and details what the Federal Reserve's influence will mean as the markets face continued crisis and bearish conditions.

00:00 - Intro
00:48 - How About The Fed?
04:21 - Fed Goals
05:36 - The Fed Kicks in about $30 Billion Per Year
06:00 - What The Fed Does/Did Do
07:57 - My Story From Anti-Fed to Fed Supporter
09:55 - The Fed is Full of Facts
10:55 - Stop Fighting The Fed
11:41 - The Fed Steps In Charts from Ralph Vince
15:00 - Overnight Repo Chart
15:21 - S&P 500 12m Forward P/E Ratio
16:09 - Fundamentals Matter
17:44 - Smoothed U.S. Recession Possibilities
18:57 - Congress Gets In On The Act
20:52 - Lower Interest Rates Will
22:47 - The Recession Is Over
24:21 - Yield Curve
25:05 - We Have Problems Ahead
26:43 - Focus On Gold

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[kojosephine]

It's a genuine advice to look into FED's data. Truly appreciate Larry will point it out.

[martinrimes]

One of the best in analysis and certainly trading. Thank you for this webinar Stock Charts and Larry.

[knightsofromance]

You've got to love Larry's charts....Always original and always a leading indicator.

[felixiavarone]

the legend, larry williams havent seen this name in decades !

[aalbo]

Larry you are fantastic. Thank you for sharing your wisdom.

[AAOResearch]

Hello, I was wondering if you know where this moon paper is by the fed. i could not find it. I was curious.

[robertburks]

Fantastic video with intelligent, thoughtful, original analysis. I have viewed this 3 times and I am going to watch it again!

[michaelwhitehead]

Excellent and sound presentation. Great correlation of PE ratios and the current valuation of stocks! Gives confidence to buy the dips and possibly build a position over the next few weeks.

[KM-comx]

Thank You Sir! You are a Master Teacher... God Bless

[scheuermann]

excellent stuff facts and data not opinion and conjecture

[humanflytube]

Larry - Thanks for your analysis and insight. I understood that, total amount of money USA has is ~3- 4T, rest are credits ( ~15- 20T). So, the FED just pumped in total about 4.3T. Is that 4.3T is credits ? are those come with strings attached ?

[garyf]

One more question..with the rally off the bottom, don’t you think it will retrace?

[richardseverson]

Larry is so dam good, when all others are predicting a Global depression now

[jasonriehl]

So, the monetization of debt is good? The PE looks low at the moment but a continued slow down will make the current PEs look high. Fed was created in 1913.

[春天的花冬天的雪]

It looks like the end of May is a buying opportunity due to pull back?

[stacydalebarendse]

Much respect Larry! The wildcard now unlike 08, is digital currencies.

[MrWolf]

With the covid 19 and whole world shutting down, how can we increase the productivity?

[chadwiekierak]

Probably just talking to myself here, but...

A lot of talk about the price in the P/E ratio, but not about the earnings. Yes, stock prices have fallen but the world shutting down will bring earnings down with it resulting in valuations that aren't as low as one would think.

Also, you make it sound like the FED has the magic formula. Is it really as easy as keeping rates down and flooding the world with dollars? No consequences to these actions? I'm not convinced.

[Jimo]

we may avoid a recession by definition because the stop happened so fast. R is defined as 2 quarters of negative growth. how can we slow down any more next quarter than we already did. therefore no recession.

[williamsignorile]

The Fed started dec 1913 yes they have a great deal of data of which I have been a student of the fed since 1972