Aviation trends, both hype and reality, with Richard Aboulafia - Pilot's Discretion podcast (33)

Are you excited about supersonic business jets or electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft? Richard Aboulafia is going to disappoint you: "I'm here with my bucket of cold water.” The always-entertaining aviation analyst explains why these buzzy projects probably won't happen, what technology will become a reality, and why business jets are hot right now. He also analyzes the airlines' summer of misery and shares the right lessons to learn from the 737 MAX disaster. In the "Ready to Copy" segment, Richard tells us about the Concorde, the Collier Trophy, and China's airliner ambitions.

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[ItsAllAboutGuitar]

It's a surprise that after 2.5 years of people sitting in their house that they'd want to get out and travel? It's surprising that airlines who treat their employees like trash will lose them?

[pctrashtalk]

From the UK. "Academics from the University of Oxford and Imperial College London say that every airport in the United Kingdom must close; all beef and lamb must be made illegal; and all new construction must halt in order to reach “zero emissions” goals by 2050.

The only airports that would be allowed to continue operating are Heathrow, Glasgow and Belfast, and only under the condition that all transfers to and from the airport be done by rail rather than cars.

“All remaining airports must then close between 2030 and 2049 as to meet the legal commitment of zero emissions by 2050 every citizen of the United Kingdom must “stop using aeroplanes” for a significant period of time, ” reports Exposé News.

On aviation, they say: “Although there are lots of new ideas about electric planes, they won’t be operating at commercial scales within 30 years, so zero emissions means that for some period, we’ll all stop using aeroplanes.

“Without flying, there will be growth in domestic and train-reach tourism and leisure.”

The report says all airports should close between 2020 and 2029 with the exception of Heathrow, Glasgow and Belfast. These would close between 2030 and 2049.

Aviation could re-start once a zero emission method of flight has been invented. “Electric planes are under development, but difficult: the limited rate of improvement in solar cell efficiency suggests that solar power will never be sufficient for multi-passenger commercial flight.

[craigcovello]

Interesting comment about Washington DC being a great town once you take out the government part, which has its “pluses and minuses”. I wonder how many people would agree that the federal government has “pluses“ just days after Biden gave a frightening speech characterizing 75 million Americans (many I’m sure who are pilots) as “extremists” and “a danger to democracy”. This man has wrecked everything that he has touched, so I hope he leaves aviation alone.