Bitcoin realistic price prediction using logarithmic regression

It is time for the periodic look at the price of Bitcoin in reference to the fair value logarithmic regression trend line. The price of Bitcoin may seem somewhat chaotic on short time frames, but over years, it tends to follow the same path it has always been. In this video, we discuss a realistic price prediction for Bitcoin over the next few years, and back up using more than just a "gut feeling." At the end of the day, Bitcoin does not care about what your feelings are anyways. What is more important is what the data suggests!

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[ITC_Admin]

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[karenlisa]

As the price of bitcoin became an important economical factor, gathering attention from financial institutions of various kinds and stimulated the research of behavioral factor that influence the price of bitcoin and working on ways of predicting its changes.

[Rafael-etrn]

Your channel is the best! Thank you so much!!!

[richardnorris]

Everyone below me had made a 500% profit since commenting...You’re all legends

[Flap_a_jacka]

Your ideas are highly insightful, thank you Ben. My Grandad used to tell me with a subtle smile "There's nothing wrong with building castles in the sky, just don't move in :)" If only he could have seen this data!

[williamtell]

2043 ? I'm 63 now .
Oh well .
I'll have to will it to my kids

[harness_]

Your videos are fantastic!!! Keep up the good work. I love the straight no BS approach

[freeduckie]

"Whats a few ___ among friends" Love that quote

[sluggoslug]

I like this. Understandable and interesting. Also comforting.

[provyprov]

Curious to know what you think the fair value is now that we’re at $60k

[Mohsenyazdani]

It's not just informative, watching your content is also enjoyable. Thanks for explaining everything in a constructive manner.

[sweetspuds]

You got a model for what the price has to be to feed 2 miners
assuming some electricity cost,
assuming same rate of txs change,
after the next halving ?

[jamesryan]

Hey Ben, cant help but notice the “tolerance band” (I believe its +- 10%) gets thicker and thicker as time goes on. Put in other words, the tolerance was less in the earlier days and more in the future. I’m sure you have a good reason/explanation for this and I would love to hear it! :) Or it could just be by eyes, thanks so much (:

[KonaChuck]

At 9:29 the graph shows a Bitcoin fair value of $40K, but a 250 percent overvaluation of $140K. Doesn't't 250 percent of $40K equal $100K?

[bees]

spot on best chart i have seen you post thus far.

[ajaykadam]

Wow it's still accurate prediction back then... great work from BJ cowen

[FundamentalTips]

Great job and a lot of respect for the reality check attitude ! One question, how likely do you believe is FOMO effect and institutional investors to shorten the period ? Also the foundation of 'demand vs supply' is so disproportional to any previous values. Again, great work ! Happy to found you !

[williamtell]

What do you think about selling bitcoin and buying yfi ?

[gabrielsticks]

Hi Ben, Can You do the same for ETH for premium Members
Thank you

[jordanpradolin]

Thanks Ben, great content as always. I would be interested to see what the regression band would be if all data to date is included, would you be able to do another video including that data?