Retire Off BITCOIN by 2030 [How Much BTC??]

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In today's video I show you 5 price predictions for Bitcoin in 2030 and break down how much Bitcoin [BTC] it would take to retire in each scenario. These numbers come from industry analysts, experts, hedge fund managers, etc (I didn't just make them up!).

IMPORTANT: I realized while editing this video that in the MOONSHOT valuation model, it would take a LOT more than $1.5M USD to retire (because this model is based on the premise that the USD is devalued completely). So, while it's fun to contemplate, the moonshot price prediction would likely NOT lead to a comfortable retirement because the whole world would probably be fighting over the remaining scraps of the once-great Western civilization. The other price predictions are at least grounded in the assumption that the US dollar continues to be a valuable currency over the next 10 years.

#bitcoin #btc #retirement
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[MarkFarfan]

For the 'Moonshot' valuation, check out the description box for a clarification :)

[giriaridita]

72K US$ per BTC at the moment (early March 2024)

[Sparta]

It could never go to 0$ because I would never sell mine

[jayakrishnan]

Over a 100 year period gold surged from 20$ to 2000$ and it was a slow paced world. One possible scenario is BTC appreciation mimicking this run up, albeit in a shorter time period, likely 10 years to 2.5 million USD.

[stuartjames]

I admire the financial independence of people, But you can live better if you work a little more. After watching this I think there are people out there, on the extreme, who plan to die early just to be able to retire early. To each their own but to me, retirement isn't just about not having to work, it's about having the freedom to do whatever you might reasonably want, such as travel, buying things, enjoying life, etc. I don't think I could retire with less than $3m in income-generating investments, maybe $2m at the very minimum. I plan to work until I'm at least 45

[RandyDupree]

My plan is simple: Sell 85% of my crypto around 90-100kBTC USD and retire a multi millionaire. I hope i dont have to wait until 2030+ as im 50 years old!! lol Thx for the video!

[fanxia]

If moonshot is the case, 1.5 million is no longer enough for retirement because the USD would be worth 10x less. Which means, you would need 15 million to retire. The real bull case is that USD doesn't lose too much value and Bitcoin goes up to 10 million purely due to scarcity and adoption of being a store of value.

[WhiteArtsMagic]

14.95 BTC - Yeah, no one is getting this much
5.54 BTC - Yeah, no one is getting this much right now. If you think its normal average people able to spend the money to get this you are showing your privilege
3.74 BTC - still more expensive than 99% of people are going to want to spend today
1 BTC - Getting closer, but most of your average people still will not be able to financially be able to put near $30k into something today
0.12 BTC - Getting to the price here that the average person would maybe put in... but still find your average person being hesitant here

[BriansWealthJourney]

You don't need a full bitcoin to retire. You can at least pay off your bills with 0.2 Bitcoin. I'm very bullish on BTC.

[samuelmatthwe]

Thank you for this wonderful video! I have incurred so much losses trading on my own....I trade well on demo but I think the real market is manipulated.... Can anyone help me out or at least tell me what I'm doing wrong?

[Willo]

Cost of living projections need to be factored in! Here in the uk, cost of living “roughly” doubles every ten years but providing you sell / buy your btc somewhere near the top / bottom you can negate some of the cost of living loss by trading the btc every four years.
Good video. Enjoyed watching

[GalaxiePictures]

In the base case, which is a 10x from todays price, all you would need is $15K or .50BTC or in the bull case, a 15x from todays price, all you would need is $10k or .33BT. Both scenarios bring you to $150K in 2030. Borrow $50K against $100K in BTC and have $50K as a cushion. If BTC price increases 50% per year your retirement is essentially free, if not you have the $50K to cover the difference. Pay back the loan and your collateral of $100K most likely will be worth more. REPEAT.

[ehudkirsh]

11:26 - You think people should sell Bitcoin if it moons and buy bonds? WTF? Bonds are guaranteed to fail, no matter what, they're basically cash.

[starchaser]

My base case is that you just need 3x the block reward on or after the halving date to retire at that point. Currently that's 18 BTC. In April 2024 it will be 9 BTC and in 2028 only 3 BTC to retire from that point forward.

[sgx]

I saw a recent news interview with Cathy Wood (and apparently she updated her prediction), BTC will hit 1.5 million by 2027. That's only 3 years from now.

[ShinobiTekken]

What should be the price of BTC per coin as an asset, if there are only 16 million coins left which is less than 21 million total that would be mined, knowing 4-5 million has already been lost. There are currently 55 million millionaires in the world.

[benhattersley]

It would be good to get an update on this video now, with the ETF’s etc..

[xennialnick]

There is zero chance of BTC going to zero. Even in the worst case scenario it would still have value as a collector’s item.

[paulkieffer]

There are millions of people that will never sell. It’s over bitcoin goes to infinity.

[carolsun]

Bad news of Binance and uncertainty of spot ETF approval drags bitcoin price down. If no more bad news comes later, the price of bitcoin will stabilize.