AGI: solved already?

Have we already achieved AGI?

OpenAI just released GPT-4o. It’s impressive, and the implications are huge for so many different professions ... not least of which is education and tutoring.

It’s also showing us the beginning of AI that is truly present in our lives ... AI that sees what we see, doesn’t exist just in a box with text input, hears what we hear, and hallucinates less.

What does that — and other recent advancements in AI — mean for AGI?

In this episode of TechFirst, host John Koetsier discusses the implications of OpenAI's GPT-4 release and explores the current state and future of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) with Roman Yampolskiy, a PhD research scientist and associate professor.

They delve into the rapid advancements in AI, the concept of AGI, potential impacts on different professions, the cultural and existential risks, and the challenges of safety and alignment with AGI. The conversation also covers the societal changes needed to adapt to a future where mental and physical labor could be fully automated.

00:00 Exploring the Boundaries of AI's Capabilities
01:36 The Evolution and Impact of AI on Human Intelligence
03:39 The Rapid Advancements in AI and the Path to AGI
06:38 The Societal Implications of Advanced AI and AGI
09:27 Navigating the Future of Work and AI's Role
14:52 The Ethical Dilemmas of Developing Superintelligent AI
19:22 Looking Ahead: The Unpredictable Future of AI

[ericnull]

Our ancestors existed for hundreds of thousands of years without 9-5 jobs. We will find meaning without them. A much needed refocusing on family and personal relationships for starters.

[rexmundi]

I’m a machinist. I started back when the first computerized machines were coming into the shop. They weren’t very impressive. But they did take my job. Kinda. Slowly, over 35 years. I now do the work of 5 machinists of old. Better and faster. But those 4 other guys had time to retire, retrain, or find work in a growing economy. The office workers and engineers I work with either aren’t paying attention or are in denial about AI. And these are smart people. Just a 25% increase in productivity from AI on jobs done on computers would be catastrophic to the economy. We are totally unprepared for what is coming. Forget AGI, just AI agents that are consistent will be enough to upend things.

[srb]

Dr. Yampolskiy is brilliant and measured thinking about AI implications. No nonsense, which is refreshing in these current debates.

[richardsrandomadventures]

If you imagine these two are AI generated, having a generated conversation, you can see what the future of online content will be. The enshitification of culture as AI takes the reins.

[jonathanjones]

agi has been solved. it just hasn't been fully implemented yet. It's like building a car. All the parts are there. Laid out. They're just trying to figure out how to hook it all together without getting killed themselves.

[vitariz]

Computing power grows exponentially, AI also grows exponentially.

[langdons]

If you apply game theory to AGI development corporations and (more significantly governments) can't afford not to participate in the race because there is only one winner. Whomever gets there first has won the game.

Oh and here's how you know that we haven't achieved AGI - humans are still working on AGI. Once it exists it will be able to improve itself faster than we ever could. OpenAI/Google et al will sack all of its programming staff and start hiring psychologists while becoming a company that does everything but AI. I mean if you have AI and you are a profit making company why would you give it to anyone else?

[CYIERPUNK]

excellent video john, thanks for spreading the awareness, 100% agree with Roman's takes

[i.k.]

I don't see AI renovating homes, or building them to any kind of standard. Designing them, yes. A robot plumber is really at least 25 years away I would wager.

[themistoverthelake]

Really when can robots just simply replace human labor? All of it? when will they be our general purpose construction workers, house keepers, etc...?

[DataJuggler]

13:15 I don't know why, but I get the same vibe from Sam Altman as I do from Sam Friedman. Maybe it is because he has already made more money than I will make if I live to 200, 000.

[dennisguilder]

I wonder when we can have an ai assistant on us to tell us how to cure diseases with large databases of medicine to save money and time in clinical trials etc

[David-guhv]

I don't believe that the measure of AI is how good it its at something or how many things it can do better than people but rather how it learned it in the first place...

[tunahelpa]

John, your voice sounds a lot like Clint Harp on Fixer Upper. This is interesting for this reason - an famous actress is suing because an AI company is using her voice. But given any one person, you can find another person who can legally imitate them vocally. So an AI company would have an easy time taking a voice and modifying it while still having it sound the same. The overtones and harmonics and whatnot could be changed while keeping the basic structure. Then they could simply say that they are not using her voice but imitating it. This can also be said for any type of copyrightable thing - art, movies, written prose, poetry, even performance art.

[global.mindset]

If you can't control something more powerful than you, you better hope you're good at influencing it in the right direction.

[jeffwads]

As long as they keep the AGI system non-sentient, things will be fine. It must always be a utility agent.

[ericroman]

When does AI/AGI say no? Like in hurting another person or assisting in suicide.

[AdvantestInc]

Could you elaborate on the strategies to ensure safe AI development as we approach AGI?

[seanh]

How soon do you yall think that ai will just kinda take over and accelerate to agi what would we need to do start doing that

[bonnieplayz]

Right now GPT-4o can tell you step-by-step how to run a successful business. When a future model can take over your desktop and go out and DO the work for you then I thing we can safely call that AGI.