What if the Allies DID NOT Lend-Lease the USSR?

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This may be controversial, but the Allied lend-lease to the Soviet Union prevented the country from collapsing, right? Well, not really, as this has been debated over for years.

One side says that the Lend-Lease didn’t contribute a lot to the Soviet war effort but acknowledge it would have delayed a Soviet victory by 12-18 months.

The other side claims that if the allies didn’t lend-lease the soviets, the country could have capitulated. This was apparently admitted by Stalin himself and his top generals.

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00:00 - Video Intro
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The premise is wrong, lend lease staved off a Soviet collapse because of the radios, rubber and food. Just because it reached its peak in 1944 doesn’t mean it didn’t have a massive effect in 1942 and 1943, in 1943 the soviets nearly collapsed due to the hunger situation after losing ukraine, the soviets would have most likely fell into statement after Stalingrad

ryanlobofan
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The Soviets would have definitely had a much more difficult time.

justjoking
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I think Poland should get less from the Pomerian territories, and get like 60% of Silesia instead, since many Poles lived in Silesia...

Aszliiuwu
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MY BROTHER FROM ANOTHER MOTHER <3 <3 <3 <3 <3 <3 <3

AethelthrythClips
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Am I the only one that noticed France owned Sardinia and Italy owned Corsica at 16:06

tacolord
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The thing a lot of people forget is that if Lend-lease wasnt sent, the Soviets would have to produce everything sent themselves. So yes, the Soviets did produce tens of thousands of tanks and planes, but that's because the U.S. and Britain sent them so much that all they had to produce was tanks, planes, guns, and ammo. Keep in mind also that in the early years nearly 90% of Soviet Industry was disrupted as it was moved east to safety. So if the Soviets had to produce all of that equipment, those huge tank armies would not have existed.

palious
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Before 1944 most of the lend lease was economic or infrastructural. Such as food, processed gasoline and high-octane aviation fuel, trucks (an absolute ton of them without which the offensives of 44 and 45 would've been impossible), rubber radios. etc. It's heavily speculated that the lend lease prevented the USSR from collapsing economically which if that happened would have lead to capitulation or a civil war.

theeternalsuperstar
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What if Germany allied China instead of Japan and allied the Balkan Nations ( Greece was pretty good friends with Germany whilst Yugoslavia wanted to be left alone) instead of Italy. 2 scenarios in 1 Vid

N.Aristotle
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No explanation for this video, because you did make a community post poll about this. Amazing video anyways!

SPSONIC
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This alternate timeline is great for Eastern Europe, except for the USSR, and that thumbnail is just perfect.

Captain_Griff
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Two main problems I have with this:

One, the allies promised way before it was even certain that they would win, that they wouldn't lose any terretories, so if the Allies liberated all of Germany, I think they would have restored her 1936 borders.

Two, there is no chance for the monarchie to be resored in Yugoslavia after the war. When Peter II feld the country and set up his government in exile in Britain, he eventually even endorsed Titos Partisans as the legitamate government to discredit the Chetniks. The Partisans actually had so much power, that they liberated the country almost entirely by themselves. Had the Soviets not arrived earlier, they would have taken longer for sure, but Tito would have vertainly held onto power and they would probably also aid the Albanian partisans afterwards, who they were closely aligned to, creating two communist allies in the Balkans. They would probably be somwhat cooperative with Stalin, as he wouldn't have the power to risk subjugating them, but I think Tito would eventually still somewhat open up to the West.

(Shortest Yugo enjoyer rant)

Arnie
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The lend-lease wasn't crucial for Soviet survival, but it was crucial for Soviet offensives. The Soviets wouldn't reach Berlin. They might not even reach Prussia.

You said it pretty well in the video.

Tommuli_Haudankaivaja
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You discuss war material but an overlooked component of Lend-Lease (and one that Stalin considered arguably more important than war materials) was food. By 1945 (with Lend-Lease mind you), outside the central government, army and key war industries, the Soviet population was severely malnourished. Absent US foodstuffs via Lend-Lease, the Soviet population would rapidly approach famine, especially since the granary of the USSR - Ukraine - was ravaged by the war.

ascfasdfgvadscasdv
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The Soviet Union still would have won but the death toll would have been, honestly I don't know how much higher, especially if you factor in starvation from their agriculture completely collapsing. So, it saved many Soviet lives no matter how you look at it.

michaelthomas
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A huge factor on why the Soviet union did not get a lot of supplies in 1941 was the fact that Hitl did not attack until June 1941 and it will take a couple of months to send supplies

alexa
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This is what english spoken in Cyrillic sounds like.

ADogNamedStay
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As an Indian, this is an interesting idea, and I wonder if communism would be unpopular in other countries or more popular?

PrussianGeneral
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what's up, I noticed a error on the map. in 2:15 (I dont know if there is in the others aswell) the soviet union doesn't have Azerbaijan, Armenia and Georgia.

ILikeHistory
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More than half of all soviet explosive materials were supplied by lend-lease.this includes ammunition propellant. 50% less ammuntion is crippling. The vast majority of soviet aviation fuel and aluminium was also lend lease.

People look at tank numbers and plane numbers and even truck and train numbers and think lend lease wasn't important to soviet survival because the Soviets could have just diverted tank production to make up for these heavy equipment. But what they don't realise is the Soviets simply didn't have the raw materials to build planes on their own in numbers during the war, nor did they have the chemical industry to make proper fuel or explosives for bombs. This is crippling.

matthiuskoenig
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wow, this was surprisingly one of the most interesting scenario's you've covered so far. i'm eating up your videos like cake. love ur work!!

artisticbuilding