What's next for AI?

For this video we have looked at what AI applications are currently under development and add some wild speculation about where things will be going in the near future. We want to hear your speculations, too, so let us know in the comments.

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00:00 Intro
01:01 Current Situation
03:50 Personal Life
09:13 Art and Entertainment
16:14 Work Life and the Business Sector
23:28 Learn More about Neural Nets with Brilliant

[peterhall]

I am a 70 year old applied mathematician and this is the most profound intellectual development in my life. I saw it coming in the late 70s when number theory was a backwater and then in the 1980s the RSA algorithm elevated number theory to a higher level. There was a relentless drift from continous thinking in terms of PDEs to discrete thinking in terms of number theory, graph theory etc. But what really stonkers me is the convergence properties of these models which are actually hilariously banal in terms of their structural mathematical complexity. Forget about the billions of parameters, just look at the structure of the model which can be written in terms of matrices. No one knows why you get the amazing convergence to a result although people are trying all sorts of ways to try to understand what's going on. Stephen Wolfram has ruminated that something like a geodesic minimisation in a suitable function space is going on. Ironically the convergence analysis requires old school functional analysis! I have wondered whether these systems will produce more global uniformity or more volatility. The current models are trained by a slice of human behaviour but in 10 years time there will be a completely new data set "polluted" by the AI generated outcomes and there are some really deep statistical issues underlying the ultimate trajectory of all of that. The pace of change is just breathtaking. I'm retired and even I don't have the time to go down every burrow.

[hynesie]

Me: Maybe AI will automate all the boring things so we can focus on artistic endeavors.
AI: I have automated all art forms so you won't be distracted from your boring job.

[fuseblower]

I remember when some writers welcomed AI generated art because it meant they didn't have to pay an artist to make a cover for their books. Now we also don't have to pay the writers anymore. The old saying was "learn to code" if your job went out of fashion. I guess becoming a plumber is a safer bet nowadays.

[justtylermusic]

Riding the AI hype train but sharing factual information instead of ignorant speculation is always helpful. Thank you

[hihungryimcam]

This was an incredible video. Your clarity, research, insight, and honesty are just consistently incredible. It's critical that solid information and clear descriptions of especially complex topics are publicly available, and you and your team do an awesome job of providing it.

[tacobell-PR]

I am very thankful for your videos Sabine. Not only are you one of the smartest people i've learned from through the years, but you're absolutely hilarious. <3

[ericvulgate]

We watch you bc you have a knack for explaining complicated subjects simply and understandably.
We appreciate you.

[fabkury]

Sabine, the reason I watch your videos is because you are more knowledgeable than me, probably smarter than me as well, and on top of that you do the research work to bring "me", on polished audio (I mostly listen instead of watching), the distilled summary of interesting things in science and the world in general. You bring me clear thinking, sprinkled with your personality traits which I also find interesting and sometimes entertaining. Just thought I could let you know, since you said you have no idea.

[hervigdewilde]

Development isn't really about writing code.
It's about thinking how to do whatever it is that needs doing in a way that can evolve/expand as required - often in ways that the client/boss can't even envisage or articulate.

[rangerBlu]

Thanks! I have enjoyed your channel for a while so I'm happy to support the work you're doing.

[carloc]

Extremely valuable content. I’ve heard a lot about AI, but this video analyzes some changes which are going to impact us soon. No science fiction, lots of science facts. Many thanks, Sabine.

[aptfx]

As always a very insightful, well thought out video! You asked about being worried in regard to job replacements and I think there was a little misconception in those parts which were about software development. Most people who think that software developers are now (or soon) easy replaceable by Als miss some important things: The first difficult part of software development is actually defining the problem. People in need for a software solution most of the time are not capable to define their problem without help. Some of the typical domains are extremely complicated - so even letting the AI asking for details won't work in general. The second part that always gets missed by those who already think about killing software developer jobs is, that software developers are on the forefront of making use of AI tools, which makes them working more efficiently than ever. They can concentrate on the hard things of their job and automate the easy ones. They can create solutions quicker. Does this mean that 4 of 5 software developers get fired because you only need 1? This would be similar to saying that we then also only need 1 scientist because he will "generate" the same "amount" of wisdom in the same time as 5 scientists. To the contrary - it will enable things that were not possible before. Creating custom solutions will be cheaper... _because_ less effort is needed. This brings custom solutions in reach to much more people... so the market for custom solutions will grow. With Als being tools that are available to anyone, it will depend on who makes better use of this tools. The idea that software developers are replaced is somewhat naive... this are trained experts who did "teach" machines to do what they want for many years. Using AI tools makes them much more productive. A software developer with AI tools will run circles around someone who has no clue, trying to build something using prompts to a ChatBot.

Many of todays "AI users" don't have a clue how they work. (Note: I don't mean having no clue in the way OpenAI marketing claims to "not knowing" that their AI does). As a computer scientist I have no problems understanding the research papers about the transformer architecture, large language models and all the old stuff about neural networks, back propagation, deep learning a.s.o. It's not "magic" to us. Of course we can't explain "how" a model comes to a particular result (because inference in a neural network is a black box), but this doesn't mean that we don't understand how LLMs work. Many of normal AI users seem to base their knowledge more on science fiction movies, in which "The AI" will flee into the world wide web as soon as there is an open connection - it will obviously hack into the whole world and eradicate humankind. Its a tragedy... and a comedy... to read current media about all of this.

The software world will look quite different in a few years. User Interfaces will be much more dynamic - because it is easy to generate custom UIs which fit a wide field of interaction patterns. Bridging software systems will be easier, because LLMs will make it much easier to define formal enough protocols without big efforts. AI will bring a new gold rush to the world of software - there will be software solutions for much more things. This development will also produce negative consequences, which will also need to be addressed... most likely through software again.

[SeanKula]

" Like personal Jesus but one that actually replies." That was pure gold, thank you, Sabine!

[manabukun]

1. I'm not using anything cloud based.
2. So far, it feels like copying or regurgitation of existing creativity. I've tried many GPT versions and competetors. They need a lot of context and nudging to come up with something creative. At which point, you might as well do it yourself.

[DavidGolder]

To say that the future looks bleak would be an understatement. It looks terrifying. Look at you, Sabine. You studied science, you wanted to change the world, solve the measurement problem, come up with the theory of everything, but you ended up making YouTube videos for a living.

[lukeprinsloo]

Love your content Sabine, unbiased, informative, creative and subtly funny.

[siddharthb]

Sabine is amazing, one of the few legit sources out there.

[THEmickTHEgun]

There’s no point worrying about change in the world, otherwise your life will just be lived in constant worry. Change is inevitable. We just happen to be living in an age where exponential growth is the norm.

[happyswiftie]

I can really really tell you put so much efforts into this video! The information are right & on point. Especially with the music/art stuffs…also love how u always keep a straight face while making ur jokes LMAO

[Ithirahad]

Yes, "until the robots come". I think a good sequel to this video might be a roundup of the progress, challenges, and potential of automation *hardware* and robots. Everyone's seen those rather impressive videos from Boston Dynamics, but what else is out there?