COVID-19 Simulation with EpiGraph

preview_player
Показать описание
This animation shows different stages of the simulation of an outbreak of COVID-19 for the 62 most populated cities in Spain comprising a total of 20 million inhabitants. We have used censal data from the Spanish Office for Statistics and the Spanish Ministry of Health for the social modelling. The simulation shows the total number of infectives including the symptomatic  and asymptomatic cases. Note that these number are much bigger than the official number of cases. The beginning of week 1 corresponds to 17th of March of 2020.

Two scenarios are compared:
•Baseline: no restrictions are taken, the virus freely propagates throughout the whole simulation
•Social enforcement policies: starting from week 1, including closure of schools, working from home, social distancing and travel restrictions

EpiGraph was originally designed in the Computer Architecture research group of University Carlos III and later, developed further with the collaboration with Barcelona Supercomputing Center.

Рекомендации по теме
Комментарии
Автор

Great job but, as many times, a Spanish map without Canary Islands.

leonardoruiz
Автор

¿Y nunca acaba el confinamiento? Debería mirar esa variable y ver en que manera se volvería a propagar el virus una vez el confinamiento se elimine y que escenarios dependiendo en qué momento se hiciese.

_Odanert_