Canada's Economy and Trump 2.0 - Markets 'Bracing'?

#canadianeconomy #canadianinterestrates #canadarealestate

The Canadian Economy could be in for some real volatility on the advent of Trump 2.0 – at least according to convention wisdom being portrayed in the media. But is it that simple?

Links:

Canada’s economy braces for an ‘unpredictable’ future with Trump back in White House:

What a Trump presidency could mean for Canadian pocketbooks:

Canada 5 Year Government Bond:

Trump’s win is already driving mortgage rate hikes in Canada:

Trumped-up growth and spending could cost Canadians seeking mortgage-rate relief:

Canada could lose billions with Donald Trump in power. Here’s why:

The impact of a Trump presidency on the Canadian economy:

Jack Mintz: Trump 2.0 could hurt Canada’s economy:

The Bond Vigilantes:

Opinion: How ‘Trump 2.0’ could push this ‘Roaring 2020s’ stock market into the 2030s:

After Trump’s win, Canadian trade lawyers say clients brace for tariff fallout:

Canada braces for tariffs, trade disruption with 2nd Trump presidency:

What does a 2nd Trump term mean for Canada? To start, steep tariffs and pressure to spend more on military:

Markets Brace For Higher Inflation and Interest Rates Under President Trump:

TD Bank hit with record $3 billion fine over drug cartel money laundering:

Trump threatens 20% U.S. tariff on EU car imports:

Trump threatens tariffs on Mexico if it does not stem flow of migrants into the U.S.:

How Mexico Beefs Up Immigration Enforcement To Meet Trump's Terms:

Donald Trump Vows to Rip Up Trade Deals and Confront China:

Make no mistake: The USMCA is an America-first trade deal:

Second Trump administration may spur more deal-making in Canada, experts say:

How will Canada respond to Trump's promised tariffs?:

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[berry]

we have an economy? everybody works for the Government, unemployed or on welfare and the rest like me in antique Machine shops

[desmomotodesmomoto]

We will have predictable economy if Trudeau gets the heck out of here.

[gmarks]

Canada's economy is trading houses to each other and going to Tim Hortons 😂

[rolandsutter]

If Canada would promise to get us to the 2% by purchasing some ships and planes he would be a hole lot more receptive

[stephsteph]

Thanks for clicking!!!
And drill baby drill!

[GenXMindset]

You should finish the book AI started, could be a best-seller!🤓👍

[golftownpro]

Haven't owned CDN stocks in years!

[ianfleming]

Not just Trump. His appointees, Joker, Riddler, Penguin and Bat women all lend to the volatility side show. The projected interest rate differentials serve to increase the flight of investors and talent to the U.S. Difficult to parse G.D.P. figures in Canada as they are skewed by government employment. The downside may not be as bad as it seems but the downside risk has just increased and we are vulnerable. Many cannot afford the economy to get much worse.

[JM-xhvs]

Nice to hear a calm and pragmatic voice

[DaitsUfoma]

Pragmatic, Logical and No-nonsense video Mark. Good day!!

[bluesmansunnyfournier]

How low is the Canadian peso going to go ???
Still waiting for Peter Schiff"s prediction on your channel at the begging of the year saying the CND will go much higher in 2024 even par with the USD. Lol

[Stormshfter]

Think of our economy as 4 tires on a car, and money printing as gasoline.
Manufacturing is one tire, this will be at least initially slowed down by trump.
Oil and gas is another tire, this is being slowed down by Trudeau.
Immigration is another tire, we have no more room or infrastructure for more and is coming to a stop as we speak.
Real estate is the fourth tire, which Freeland is trying desperately to revive, but I don't see many takers on lifelong debt right now.
With all 4 tires flat, pouring gasoline into the tank won't make the car roll forward.
We need some sort of existing economy and new takers of debt to absorb the printed money or it has no effect.

[LC-hvqn]

Most investments don't go up or down in a straight line.

The 10 ten year chart still looks like it's filling in it's pattern. My guess is it goes up and comes back down to 2.70-2.90... Then sideways


Thanks again.

[kylefordinvest]

Great analysis—definitely more to consider than what the headlines suggest!

[mikewest]

How a bipartisan community changed everything for Mr Trump.
Why??

[MylesNowik]

Your dad joke made me spit my coffee out. I laughed so hard! Also, great information, as always, Mark; thanks for the update!

[JohnPong-lyzg]

If the rest of the world put a tax on any American investments, I'm sure it'd hit where it'd hurt.

[mtrest]

Does it mean GICs will soon be paying more in interests?

[zomgoose]

Trump is like a father cleaning his shotgun when you come by his house to pick up his daughter for a date.

[joebachmeier]

But he did do something in trade. He fired a warning shot. Which was largely ignored. And who knows how many other protected industries there are. He forced the door open for American dairy products. That industry is highly subsidized and barely competitive. It was minor. But how many other products have big beaver looking out for them. Alot I imagine. Dairy is one for sure.