What’s Caused Reform UK to Decline in the Polls?

Reform UK seem to be on a downward spiral with controversies surrounding their candidates seem to be never-ending. In this video, we're taking a look at Reform's polling decline, and what this could mean for the party and the Tories on voting day.

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[realityalwaysbulliesopinio]

There's only 1 poll that matters, doesn't start til tomorrow

[TheMToThe]

I was really hoping for a Lib Dem lead opposition and conservatives with less than 100 seats. Truly Joever

[tomsmith]

If 4 million votes for a 3 year old party is an issue then what is 9.5 million for a 120 year old Labour Party that they’re celebrating as a landslide?

[dftfire]

Probably fairer to say Reform UK have "levelled-off", not "declined".

Most polls still show them around 16-18%; there were two which had them on 21% -- one for the Daily Express, and the other for GB News. And their highest-ever polling was 24%, which was done by that Matt Goodwin for... GB News!

So I think all we've seen here is some outlier polls start to fall-away, and 16-18% being Reform's true-range.

[melbewley]

Take no notice of Polls. Vote for the Party you want to support.

[treescape]

Perhaps people have short memories. In 2016 referendum remain in the polls were 10% more than leave. Look who won

[ijleach]

Don't get too excited - look at the last elections / brexit etc...never underestimate the voting public!

[chesterdonnelly]

I wouldn't count on it. People just aren't prepared to say they're voting Reform.

[digitalzips]

Polls are all bollocks, wait till Friday.

[mjl]

The decline in polling could be people just being embarrassed to say out loud they will vote Reform. They only seem to say they vote Reform online.

[Vtarngpb]

If you live in Richmond & Northallerton, make your vote Count (Binface)! 😉

[benjamincjholmes]

Reform is not tanking. People who have decided to vote Reform will vote Reform. Polls are estimates on public opinion. A colossal proportion of the UK are voting reform regardless of what some polls say. In fact, some of the people making these statements should be out of a job in a few days.

[melbo]

the most important thing to know is that prediction is unreliable, especially literally just before the polling day. irrefutably

[StevenOBrien]

They're not "tanking". A few outlier polls put them around 20-21% but they've been consistently around 17% since Farage announced he was running.

[timothydenyer]

doesnt that graph show a labor "tank" bigger than a reform "tank"?

[mixk]

Kinda like how Konfederacja was doing so well before the parliamentary elections and then they had too many scandals all at once and the party's support just collapsed from double digits to 7%.

[tancreddehauteville]

I'm not at all convinced that Reform are tanking. Polls are not consistent.

[jameshogan]

Reform polling in:
July 2023- 5% (2 July, Redfield and Wilton)
January 2024- 10% (4-5 Jan, WeThink)
July 2024- 17% (1-3 July, Opinium)

Very interested to hear how this is somehow a decline?

[tonysmith]

I don’t call 14% of the national vote “tanking”.

[chenling]

"When someone shows you who they are, believe them"