Bitcoin Price Prediction Using Logarithmic Regression

Check out the original video from November 2019:

I think it is time for an update! Can we use Bitcoin logarithmic regression to dubiously speculate on the future market cycle peak of Bitcoin? Can we use prior ratios to predict types of returns? In this video, we discuss a potential peak for Bitcoin based on all sorts of prior data. I try to give reasons for why I think certain things are likely/unlikely to play out, and then also challenge that way of thinking. Where do you think the price of Bitcoin is headed? Let me know in the comments!

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Disclaimer: The information presented within this video is NOT financial advice.

[LARI]

Present Ben listening to Past Ben was so sweet. The look of paternal care on his battle-hardened face for this shy, retiring and innocent youngster.

[jonathanjackson]

2k views and so few comments on such grounded information means we are still early!! I would love to see a long grind higher. I think the media will hype inflation, the dollar will drop and BTC will over shoot this analysis, but this is solid data and if it runs hot and makes it around 150k bt Dec/Jan then yeah the RSI will begin to diminish. Once bearish divergence is shown, it's topping out... God bless you and your great content! After this market cycle I will be getting your news letter! I fully support and appreciate your content! Stay level headed out there everyone!

[fullthrill]

Ben is the professor whose class you look forward to attending.

[AAPNL]

people do not realize that the more money is in bitcoin already the more money is needed to make the same move. diminishing returns is just natural in my opinion.

[albertgibson]

I am 1000% percent convinced if I had had this guy as a math professor in my formative years...I wouldn't cary the trauma of 'not getting' math today. Watching these videos is slowly helping me get over that....crypto gains have been a sweet reward for diving head first into the two things that have traumatized me them most; investing and mathematics, no more guessing and stressing for me!

[Sus_blues]

Just got into crypto in may and have learned a lot. Was at the gym and overheard these kids talking about crypto and was amazed at how much the kid knew. No older than 18.

[dbmoose]

This is a fantastic video. I'm a huge supporter of the diminishing returns idealogy in both highs and lows. A lot of influencers are predicting 500k btc by 2025, 1m by 2030, which if you actually extrapolate this based on the .454x ratio we hit around 520k in 2025 and 900k in 2029, which is pretty in line with those predictions of growth. I would also argue, that while cycle length will increase, there is likely a diminishing return on how long cycle length increases are since there is a finite time between cycles, based on that I think cycle peak around Jan/Feb makes sense for this cycle, but we'll have to see. I'll probably be clenching most of December.

[butanediol]

I can't believe this is free content

[davidviljoen]

you were right about it peaking end of 2021

[morningcoffeepottery]

All of your videos are great, BUT This is by far the most useful and helpful video I've seen. Been following you for a long time! Thanks for all the great content.

[raf.z.]

btc price is changing but face of BEN IS YOUNG....thx for excellent work since btc 10k

[blackfieId]

If the lengthening cycles theory holds up, that automatically means shortening bear markets since the halving is a constant

[passport_papii]

"We had plenty of time to accumulate & now we're here." I felt that

[xBolt]

Came back to make sure I liked the video.

[kennykennedy]

*A* dubious speculation that might be worth to point out: what if this logarithmic regression analysis is applied to GOLD and then compare the similarities to see how it plays out? Could there be similar price patters overtime? Similarites on diminishing returns on similar time-ratios? a possible break-out outside of the regression bands?... again, dubious speculations...

[sheikhirfanali]

My ears raised when he said above 300 lol and then he corrected himself

[pallilama.]

I felt that this video was taking a while, the I looked at the time xD great stuff again Ben!

[kennyhollidayjr]

Unorthodox analysis for an Unorthodox market. Love it

[MonkDave]

A lot of talk of peaks here, but I think I speak for everyone when I say that our favourite peak has to be the one on the middle of your forehead - quality work, sir!

[Fortega]

One of the best video's on the best channel out there! This content should be a must watch on all classes