NEW FiveThirtyEight Forecast: Kamala Harris Projected to WIN 2024 Election

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Tilt: Less than 1%, Lean: 1-5%, Likely: 5-15%, Safe: 15%+
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[johnbarker]

I'm encouraged by 58%, but Hillary Clinton's 538 final odds were 72%. There's a lot of work to be done.

[scottdavis]

These polls don't mean much. Please Vote! Go to the County Resgistrar of Voters and register, then please Vote.

[OmnipotentO]

Don't get complacent or trump WILL win. VOTE.

[kineahora]

Only 58%.

Not anything to relax about …

[David-crpt]

It is beyond embarrassing that Donald Trump even has a chance in hell of winning again. WTF IS WRONG WITH AMERICA? 🤦‍♂️

[keithpalmer]

tRump should have ZERO chance of winning. VOTE VOTE VOTE DONATE DONATE DONATE

[GrootsieTheDog]

WINNING either AZ or NV is SO IMPORTANT. WHY?
There are only FIVE PATHS to VICTORY WITHOUT PENN (assuming she has WI & MI).
There is only ONE PATH to victory WITHOUT PENN & without NV & AZ:
1. GA+NC
2. NV+GA
3. NV+NC
4. AZ+GA
5. AZ+NC

[phishdough]

none of this matters guys just go out and VOTE

[lsgop]

Know that VP Harris can win enough votes to expand the electoral map, and she's starting to be liked just as much as the Obamas and with the same enthusiasm.

[dabluetoad]

58% win chance does NOT mean they’re predicting a win, it’s a probabilistic model. In 2016 everyone decried the polls for being “wrong” even though any probabilistic model doesn’t predict either person winning outright. For context I’m a Harris supporter.

[Flavourtorical]

After this, I don't want to hear any MAGA supporters saying trump will win.

He won't. Vote Harris 💙

[russelllmercer]

I've been a registered Republican since my 21st birthday in 1968. I can honestly say that I've never seen poll numbers like these in all those 56 years. I personally don't put a lot of faith in polls. This You Tube is the only one I follow because the owner goes out of his way to be truly honest and impartial in hid predictions. At my advanced age, honesty is a very important personal attribute for anyone I attempt to communicate with. I agree w/ many, not all, of the points he is making, the current numbers do not look good for my party of choice. MAGA radicalism MUST be purged from the current Republican Party. Anything less and, the party itself risks elimination through internal implosion.

[Grandtim]

My daughter has a PHD in political science. Here are three important things to remember that isn't talked about much. 1. Trump wasn't a convicted felon in 2020, he is now. 2. In 2024 in polls 75% of Americans think both Trump and Biden were to old, now we have someone younger? 3. Most Americans, even Republicans are saying they have had enough of the hatred lies and childish names.
Not to mention. Most people think a Taylor Swift endorsement is coming for Harris.
Most important. Please get out and vote to stop the 8 year nightmare.

[jakep]

VOTE. DON'T GET COMPLACENT!!! REMEMBER 2016.

[RAKelBerquist]

I hope we all know that it doesn't matter who is in the 'top job' because this is a systemic problem -- greed. We have allowed many of our economic sectors, to take advantage of the American people. It's disgusting and frightening for the future of our country. My husband and I will be retiring in the next two years n another country. We are absolutely worried that SSI will no longer be funded. we'll have to rely on his pension, a 403 (b) and a very prolific lnvestment account with my Abby Joseph Cohen my FA. Our national debt is bloating and expanding every month. Our government needs to get spending under control and cut the federal budget

[soulman]

Don't take ANYTHING for granted, get yourself and your friends registered and make a plan to VOTE!

[MxTheLight]

Remember that while polls can be encouraging or discouraging, they are only prediction. If we want to see a Kamala Harris victory, along with Democrats winning down the ballot, make sure you and those in your circle are registered to vote and have a plan to cast a ballot 💙

[jybrwjd]

We need a clean sweep, house and senate, too.

[travisp]

HARRIS 2024! 45 FOR JAIL AND SENTENCING SEPT 18TH!

[robertsouth]

I'm in New York so I'm not even bothering to go to the polls on election day...I'm voting a week earlier!