EVERYTHING you need to know about the current state of the Ukraine war & my mapping

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[KakashiBallZ]

I remember a couple of days after the Ukrainians launched the Zaporizhia offensive and it hit a brick wall, Weeb in his video was like "Wh-...what the hell was that lol?" 😂

[tacticalrover]

Thank you for your work. It’s really hard nowadays to find actual information on the war

[DIKPUNCHU]

Weeb is king. Anybody complaining about the length of the video with all the work that goes into every one of these and I watch two a day can GTFO

[namur-iqih]

Since Ukraine pulled elite units from Donbas for its incursion into Kursk, the Russia advance has accelerated. “I’ve never seen such speed [in a Russian advance], ” the commander of a Ukrainian aerial reconnaissance unit fighting in the area told The Telegraph this week. “It is very rapid. And our problem is the same: we don’t have infantry; we don’t have enough artillery or shells. We don’t have enough drones.” “The Russian forces has deployed powerful electronic warfare units, so we sometimes have to launch 10, 12, 15 just to destroy one tank. If one of them was lucky enough to find the first EW vehicle, we could take out the rest.

“The situation is very complicated, and not in our favour. The most critical thing for us now is the large number of soldiers of the Russian Federation. They outnumber us I reckon by at least five to one.”

Over the past three weeks, the Russians have advanced at least five miles towards the city, moving along the cutting of a railway line that provides cover for their infantry.

By Tuesday, they had captured a third of Novohrodivka, a town astride that railway line. By Friday, Novohrodivka had fallen completely.

Battles are ongoing “on the left if you look from the enemy towards Pokrovsk” in an apparent attempt to bypass the suburb of Myrnohrad, where the urban environment might slow them down, the commander said.

“They are trying to break through this flank, basically along the track to the Pokrovsk, and they are succeeding and very successfully, ” he added.

The Centre for Defense Strategies (CDS), a Ukrainian think tank, said in an assessment on Thursday that the Russians will probably reach the city by mid-September.

For Ukraine, that is not good news.

If Pokrovsk falls, it will seriously complicate logistics for Ukrainian troops around Toretsk, Chasiv Yar, and the “fortress” agglomeration of Sloviansk, Kramatorsk, and Kostiantynivka.

The Russians are also expanding their salient on the flanks. On Thursday, fighting was reported on the outskirts of Selydove, a town southeast of Pokrovsk.

To the east of the city, on the Ukrainian left, they have entered Krasnyu Yar and Hrodivka. Those moves threaten encirclement of large chunks of the Ukrainian front to the north, around Toretsk, and the south, around Kurakhove.

In other words, the Russians are poised to conquer a significant swathe of Donetsk region – one of their stated wars aims – dangerously jeopardize the remaining Ukrainian footholds and threaten an attack towards Dnipro.

This desperate situation appears to be a direct result of Ukraine’s invasion of Kursk in early August.

That operation, planned by Gen Oleksandr Syrsky and greenlit by Volodymyr Zelensky, the Ukrainian president, was meant to draw Russian troops away from this front.

Gen Syrsky, the commander in chief of the Ukrainian armed forces, admitted this week that the Russians had not taken the bait.

While they have moved thousands of troops from other parts of the line to Kursk, on the Pokrovsk front they have doubled down.

CDS warned that in the Pokrovsk sector Russia enjoys a 4:1 advantage in forces, resources, drones and artillery, and that it
could be assumed the Russians would reach Pokrovsk by mid-September.

The Ukrainian withdrawal from Norohrodivka, it noted, “indicates a lack of sufficient resources for defense, even on advantageous lines”.

Whatever the outcome, Pokrovsk itself is shutting down, like an organism that knows death is near.

Everyone knows what comes next, because it has happened in so many towns before.

[meegz]

"What's a ukraine?" American pro-Ua before Feb '22.

[meegz]

I don't think I ever heard you this hyped before.

[Raptor-yf]

I appreciate what you are doing. You are the only map channel I really watch. I tried the other channels but this one seems to be the best. No BS and no click bait. Great job!

[paulmicks]

Fantastic opening Weeb, got my chuckles going, awesome job !

[MegaMmmd]

thank you for your work
you're a really reliable and honest source and I watch your videos everyday

[MrM]

Professional mapper right here, thanks Weeb Union

[unknownkw]

To my understanding the Russians never intended to go further than the lands that rebels had claimed for their SMO. It is Ukrainian invasion of Kursk that given them the green light to go on the offensive and erase the AFU once and for all. Ukraine in reality never had the capability to stop the Russian advance.

[leathan]

The intro already got me SUPER EXCITED!!!

And I feel I know the situation extremely well.

[WaqasAfzali-ep]

Facts: Before the SMO, Ukraine had the second largest army in Europe with a total force of around 800, 000 soldiers(active duty + reserves), 1, 500 tanks, and over 1, 000 artillery.

They got invaded by 90, 000 Russian soldiers initially and lost 20% of their country. They also got demilitarized so badly by just 3%-5% of Russia's GDP(according to The Economist) that rhe average age in their army is 43 years old now according to Times Magazine and their Soviet era equipment are gone!

Russia has only done a partial moblization of mostly reserves because in attrition war, anyone moblizes reserves. Just like the US army in Vietnam.

[JemHadar]

Wren, I’m been watching you since early 2022. You have been honest. Thank you!

[leefer]

Without ANY REMORSE 😂 ! Weeb Union is the best, since the start of the "conflict."❤

[georgecarmel]

Thanks for the extended vid! Been watching for years. This was a good way to get your analysis of this war to make some sense of it.

[michaelthayer]

Weeb is always a day or two ahead of most of the experts who I respect, like Rob Lee or Michael Kofman, which is likely because they only use DeepState for their public updates but probably in their private analysis they've got the same picture as Weeb gives. And that's not their fault they need to maintain good relations with Ukrainian units and officials for field work so they parrot some of the propaganda lines until it can't be denied any longer, like Niu York falling or Kursk being a colossal mistake. But Weeb doesn't have those limitations.
One thing I will say is that Weeb can speculate a lot and wildly in some cases, which I balance out with more sober analysis from the likes of Kofman, but his daily map updates have always been spot on and corroborated by everyone eventually from ISW to DeepState.

[Jon]

Has to rank up there with one of the all time best videos ever produced. Thank you :)

[niravelniflheim]

As a daily viewer I think it's about time I threw some appreciation your way! Thank you, Weeb. 😊

[joshuapaul]

We see the result of a successful implementation of an attrition strategy by Russians. Ukrainian troops in Pokrovsk area (Pokrovsk is a key logistical hub that Zelenskyy is about to lose) mostly consist of hapless cannon fodder kidnapped off the streets. They are totally disorganized and demoralized. Ukrainian command has no clue about the actual frontline and sends units to places already captured by Russians. The Economist and FT wrote about it. Part of the problem of Ukraine lies in the incompetence of the leadership, an officer of the engineering unit of the Armed Forces of Ukraine told the Economist: "The General Staff simply does not control the process — it does not have any plan."