Uncertainty: the most fundamental question in physics | Tim Palmer

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Tim Palmer delves into his work on how uncertainty and chaos play out across weather systems, economics and the human brain.

The science of uncertainty: how can we best predict the future?

From quantum physics to climate change, the science of uncertainty can help us understand our chaotic world. Join Oxford Professor of Climate Physics Tim Palmer as he argues that the mathematics of uncertainty is vital to progress.

#chaostheory #weatherforecasting #butterflyeffect

Tim Palmer is an internationally renowned meteorologist and Professor at the University of Oxford. He works on the tough, crucial problems of uncertainty in our weather and climate, drawing on his background in fundamental physics to do so. He was appointed as CBE in the 2015 New Year’s Honours list for services to science and has won numerous other awards in recognition of his world-leading work.

00:00 Introduction
00:37 The primacy of doubt
01:33 Backstory
03:44 Quantum mechanics
05:11 The most fundamental question in physics
05:40 My dilemma
07:22 Michael Fish
08:30 Chaos theory
10:47 Weather forecasting
12:32 Calculating probability
13:10 Predicting hurricanes
14:47 Predictive humanitarian aid
16:00 Economic forecasting

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Is uncertainty at the quantum level epistemological or ontological? Leave your thoughts in the comments below.

TheInstituteOfArtAndIdeas
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What is the purpose of the illusion of free will if not to enhance the aims of natural selection.

musicsubicandcebu
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teoreticaly, with huge quantum computer, if you know position of all particles one pikosecond after the big bang, you can predict history of universe till its end...?

oldmonkey
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Save yourself the trouble - this is only the first 15 minutes and then an upsell for membership. Luckily, most YouTubers don't behave as badly as this channel.

DR-lhyy
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There more group of people there more it predictable, one man is a quantum sociology, millions people is a classical sociology,

sgtpprrus