The robots are coming! How fast? How much? What impact?

WRITING STUFF

[zach]

A robot is welcome to have every job I ever had. And don't get me started on workplace politics

[DownunderGraham]

Last time I was in the hospital I spoke to a nurse about the coming automation and robots and she was super keen to have a robot able to do all the miscellaneous tasks the nurses have to do at the moment - stocking shelves, prepping clean laundry, etc. She felt it would be great to have those things done by a robot so that they could get more time with patients.

[BunnyOfThunder]

For licensure, it may go down like this: one plumber shows up with conventional tools, while another one shows up with conventional tools and some robotic help. The one with the robots soon outperforms the competition, so the competition gets robots too. The result is that robots do the plumbing but the human holds the license and is held responsible for the quality of the work.

[sssurreal]

9:15 furthermore if we outlaw robotics, were going to slip against other nations that dont care at all as long as the work is getting done efficiently

[gdok]

Google's AIME (Articulate Medical Intelligence Explorer) AI model is already equalling or surpassing medical doctors:- "AMIE obtained an equal amount of information during medical interviews with actors simulating patients as human doctors and scored higher on empathy. The AI outperformed human doctors in 24 of 26 criteria for interview quality. Among these were politeness and explaining the condition and treatment. The system has unprecedented capacity for diagnostic dialogues and clinical history taking."

[bornrun]

Disney robotics and animatronics is slept on

[ChrisParlett]

"I slipped and fell on my robot" will be the new foreign object excuse to ER nurses.

[jaysilence]

Regarding the licensure and regulations issue I think robots will play a big role as contruction companions. For example we had a single person company person installing an HVAC at our home. This highly skilled man, in Germany his official title is "Meister", whicn equates to "master", complained about not finding a single skilled workers to support his work in a team. Some of the things he does can only be done by two persons. So we agreed for this construction job for me to be his apprentice and helper. I tried to keep as much low skill work away from him as possible, also to keep cost in check. For example I handed him the tools when he was on the ladder, so that he did not have to climb up and down all the time. I unloaded the truck, prepared the tools, cleaned up after him, re-packaged the tools and loaded them into the truck. All these things can for sure be done by robots in the future. The skilled work that needs the license will still be done by the human.

[alexg]

David, when you break out the Starfleet uniform, I know this is going to be a good video. Good stuff.

[zahreel]

AI powered robots and Universal Basic Income should always be in the same sentence

[vaendryl]

>Japan
>robot stories

Can't help but flashback to an anime series called chobits.

[FluteZen]

using robots to do labour that requires a license is easy it would be the same as using an apprentice. For example, the licensed electrician would put the robots to task installing outlets and then go around double check all the work before putting a ticket approval on it. 8:03

[elijahdungan]

I was an undergrat student back in 2007 and told my class that robots would take over our jobs. Everyone laughed at me. I already knew back then that humans would create a new form of AI that would operate on the same level and or surpass human intelligence, it was just a matter of time before the tech would emerge. Luckily for me I already entranched myself in a role that will be extremely hard and counterintuitive to automate via ai.

It's also not hard to come to the conclusion that humans will be replaced. You won't be able to keep up with a robot. There's just too many benefits to having ai/robot workers over human workers. There's no wage, no insurance, no vacation time. Eventually the robots will fix themselves when they break down too so the argument that humans will be needed to fix or provide oversight is rather myopic.

Key factors that will make this explode is AGI and the ability for AI/robots to rewrite and produce themselves. Advancements in robotics and technology will absolutely change the face of humanity moresoe than any other event in our brief history. You're talking about an unprecedented increase in technology, knowledge, and human capabilities never before seen.

Anyone wanting to be on the cutting edge needs to take advantage before this hits hard.

[HogbergPhotography]

I know its a whole other conversation, but I just have to mention - In Sweden "the two car family" have to pay about 3 times as much for ONE car as an american. One decent mid-sized car with a little more than the bare minimum of extras costs around 50K and in most cases more - You can buy a decent small house for around 100K🤯 That is just crazy! A car is NOT worth half your home!? Of course all the extreme punishment-taxes that Sweden has to punish its citizens, and the all the penalty duties that the EU has implemented to punish the small member countries does not help..

[christiandarkin]

total cost of ownership is important. however, the model I can see is a temp agency - where a company buys a fleet and rents them out per day. if you can offer that for less than minimum wage, you're good to go....

[rexmundi]

I’m a machinist and I’ve been in my field since before computers really entered manufacturing and as soon as they did people, mainly white collar engineers and the like, have been gleefully telling me robots were going to take my job. And they were right, kinda. Robots did take my job, over the course of 30 years. I now do the work of at least 5 machinist of old. But the other 4 guys had time to retire or retrain. Unlike the white collar workers about to be replaced in droves. The fundamental flaw in the hype in humanoid robots is people’s expectations are formed by movies and the average person has no idea how difficult manufacturing is. I occasionally get interns from engineering schools to "help" around the shop and the chance of them completing a basic machine shop task like tapping a hole successfully on the first try is almost zero. These are the most advanced autonomous systems that millions of years of evolution has perfected and to me they are basically useless. If I can’t trust them, human or robot, to complete an autonomous task correctly then I may as well do it myself. If you spend hours making a part and in the final stretch you break off a tap in it or somehow mess it up, then you have to start over. And robots are not nearly as capable as a skilled human touch. Sure, mass production robots dominate industry, but they are designed to do one task and there is a lot of human effort perfecting that. There is definitely a place for humanoid robots in the skilled trades, just having one that can hold things and carry tools and materials would be great but I think the whole economic system will collapse before we have fully autonomous robot skilled labor. AI Agents are going to crush digital jobs first. Because there is nothing to buy but a subscription. You actually get to cut costs like office equipment, building rent, snacks, HVAC costs, and everything else that accommodates a human. The biggest jump for my shop productivity would be AI that can handle ordering tools, programming toolpaths, and handling time tracking and invoicing.

[calvingrondahl]

Robots have to start somewhere. My art career has already been replaced by AI. Human, robot, AI partnerships will evolve for the best.

[HerbertHeyduck]

I would very much welcome having a robot to do the housework for me.
I'm 70 years old now and probably won't live long enough to see it. But who knows?

[beppeadr]

they are already available: Unitree @ 16000$ for basic model G1. Can even run, fight, weld, cook and so on.

[PiggoNZ]

I'm an airline pilot, I'm absolutely convinced my copilot will be a robot within 10 years, and I'll only be there for redundancy and supervision - or perhaps vice versa.