SHOCKING: Trump Might Lose Texas

Republicans are starting to freak out over the latest round of polling that shows something exceptionally shocking. According to a new survey, the state of Texas might be in play for both the Senate and Presidential races this year, as both Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are losing tons of support in the Lone Star State. The new survey shows Trump only leading by 4 points and Cruz barely winning by 2%, which is within the margin for error. Things have taken an amazing turn in this year’s election, as Ring of Fire’s Farron Cousins explains.
 

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*This transcript was generated by a third-party transcription software company, so please excuse any typos.

In the 20 plus years that I have been covering American politics, working for progressive media, every single presidential election cycle, we get Democrats starting all the way back in 2004 when I started. Is this the year that Texas is gonna turn blue? We heard it in oh 4, 0 8 12 16 20. And now of course we are hearing it once again in the year 2024. Except things might actually be a little bit different this time. I know, uh, in recent segments, honestly, I have, uh, kind of poo-pooed the idea that this is gonna be the year Texas turns blue. Uh, I have said it could certainly happen in the future, but it's not gonna happen this year. And I'm at the point now where I'm going to stop making predictions like that. Uh, because based on the latest survey from the University of Houston, it could happen this year.

The University of Houston came out with a poll that I gladly admit is, uh, kind of proving me wrong, although not quite yet. But according to this new poll, Donald Trump's lead over the Democratic opponent who at this point obviously is Kamala Harris has been cut in half. He was beating President Biden, you know, a month or so ago by nine points in the state of Texas. And now Donald Trump only has a four point lead over Kamala Harris in the state of Texas. Let me read you this 'cause it's not just bad news for Donald Trump either. Ted Cruz is also in deep, deep trouble in Texas. Here's what the poll said. The survey conducted by the University of Houston found Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris, 49.5% to 44.6%. So I'm sorry, it's actually, you know, 4.9%. While Ted Cruz led representative Colin Allred, 46.6% to 44.5% in Texas, which is a substantial turnaround from an earlier poll that found the Republican nominee leading President Joe Biden by 49% to 40% Trump is plus four 4.9.

So we're gonna call that five Cruz is plus two. And here's the funnier part about Ted Cruz's poll numbers. The margin of error in the poll was 2.65%. So if the margin for error is 2.65% and Ted Cruz only has a 2.1% lead, that means technically by definition it is actually a statistical tie that is insanely shocking. And here's why this turnaround has happened. A poll conducted in June by the university's Hobby School of Public Affairs found Biden with just 40% in a head-to-head matchup with Trump. But the new survey found Harris gained 8% over the president among women, 13 points among voters who did not participate in 20, 20 16 points among generation Z voters and

21 points with independence. So Harris has now energized people in Texas who either were not old enough to vote in 2020. So these are new voters, so that could change the landscape in the state of Texas. She won over people that simply didn't vote in 2020. Now they're saying, okay, I'll vote this year and I'm not gonna vote for the Republican, the independents, the people who either election, you know, maybe I'll go this way, maybe I'll go that way. I don't know they're going to Harris. This is insane. And of course, obviously Harris is making huge strides with women as Donald Trump continues to turn away suburban women voters. Now here's the thing, and this is what is really interesting to me about this. A poll came out last week that Republicans were freaking out about, and they are freaking the hell out about this one too, trust me, uh, describing it as a five alarm fire.

[rossvoss]

The best thing that could happen to Texas is that they rid themselves of Ted Cruz. He is such a self centered grifter doing nothing to improve the lives of Texas citizens.

[veronicastewart]

To be honest, he's going to lose a lot more than Texas. Aside from 45, Ted Cruz has been a slug for years, and he deserves to be "fired." He also ought to be prosecuted for the role he played on J6. And, don't get me started on Greg Abbott.

[bruh_hahaha]

Proud Texan here. I haven’t seen so much enthusiasm for a Democrat here in my lifetime. I’m a GenX.

[jorgeramirez]

IM FROM TEXAS, AND IM PROUDLY VOTING FOR THE PRESIDENT THAT CARES ABOUT OUR MILITARY MENS AND WOMEN ME AND ALL MY NEIGHBORS IN THE WHOLE BLOCK VOTING BLUE.

[masonkanterbury]

I hope the American people send a strong message to all Hawleys, Greenes, Cruz's, Boeberts, and Lakes that lying, demagoguery, and hate have no place in politics.

[jamesparson]

No F'ing way!

Can we be done with Ted Cruz too?

[spliter]

As a Texan I ask other Texans to get republicans out of power… let’s do this. Remember to vote in person.

[sycois]

First time voter here in TX. Voting all blue!

Not sure it’ll be enough, but it’s fun to hope!

[elypevets]

With luck Ted Cruz will get the boot, too

[kool-e-wabba]

I'm also a Texan. While I would be tickled pink if Harris won Texas, I think it is even MORE important for Texans to vote Democrats into power at the state legislature and governor level. Get these extreme bullies like Ken Paxton out of power.

Can't happen soon enough!

[markexclusive]

The Nation will party so hard when Trump and Ted Cruz loses
Cmon Texas pull this off 💙💙💙

[ladymoon]

Please, God, let Texas turn blue already. Im in Texas, and Im so disgusted with these repugnants.

[chribourg]

There are a huge amount of Republican women who will quietly vote blue and never say a word.

[Mr_Poole]

Texan here. Voting blue down ballot! Even my wife is, because she's pissed at the Greatly Oppressing People Party taking away her rights. She wasn't political until post Roe.

[peterhernandez]

This Texan will celebrate if Texas turns blue. I will be doing my part.

[jackmehoff]

I’m a Texan and i’m
Voting Blue! So is my Wife and also my Mother and Father in Law who are life long Republicans!

[deadchannel]

Turn the state blue 🔵 and get rid of Cancun Cruz and Lil Donnie.

[joandeimling]

As a Very Left Leaning Texan, I am excited to think we might go Blue again, up and down the ballot. 💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙

[terrip]

As a Texan, I sure as hell hope it turns blue this year! Abbott hates Houston because it’s a blue city. Well Abbott, the feeling is mutual. Cruz is an embarrassment as well and has to go. VOTE! VOTE! VOTE! 💙💙💙

[WAYNEYONG-ik]

I'm a lifelong Republican and Texan and I will NOT be voting for Cancun Cruz.