Models back off intensification of Caribbean disturbance, NHC says to 'monitor' system

A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean, but the NHC says environmental conditions could support some gradual development as the system moves northwestward into the Gulf of Mexico.

According to the NHC, a tropical depression could form toward the end of this week or this weekend.

While most major models agree on the system moving toward Florida after that, they have really backed off intensity. No models are hinting at the development of a hurricane or anything major.

[paleomagicksr.]

All those damaged houses from Helene will not benefit from more rain.

[williamrizzo]

The European model has it heading right for the Florida Keys, where I am heading next week.

[bradsterplayz]

Yeah umm.. this wave is now a category 5 hurricane, ONLY 5 MILES PER HOUR LESS THAN DORIAN, which was freaky and destroyed the bahamas

[jayroo]

Fast forward to today and that 40% chance of developing into something became one of the most catastrophic hurricanes to hit the Tampa Bay / Sarasota area

[davidchoynacky]

You guys are definitely controlling these storms

[colindavidson]

Ok this is messed up. We just got nailed by Milton and I’m seeing this wondering if it’s happening again 😂