Could The US Enter a Serious Crisis?

Oversimplified version of "The Storm Before The Calm" - George Friedman

It seems like recently America is crazy. Everything about the country leads to believe there might be a crisis soon. Well through two repeating cycles in American history this might be the case. Will there be an American Crisis during the 2020s decade?

#h0ser #usa #2020s

[ThcPatient]

George Friedman also authored a book called "The Coming War with Japan" in 1991.

[AureliusLaurentius]

"And from the ashes, a new America will be born. Evolved but untamed"
-Senator "Nanomachines son" Armstrong

[gmxealot]

I think this sort of cyclical historicism massively oversimplifies both American history and the American present. As presented here, it also overemphasises internal factors in the nation's economy and politics without looking to other nations as much as a good view of history should.

[MrTimebomb]

As a history student nearing his undergrad, I am VERY hesitant when it comes to claims like "Every number of years this thing happens and we're just in time for the thing!" It's a borderline pseudoscientific way to approach history, as if humans run off of numeric cycles. History and anthropology are vastly more complex fields than just arbitrary cycles. Any "evidence" these kinds of theories claim to have are usually anecdotal and highly interpretive, not to mention it lacks falsifiability

[kaiser]

The fact that we can afford to worry about issues like this instead of worrying about clean water or war planes overhead is such a blessing

[bobjenkins]

Cycle history is definitely flawed. It over simplifies way to much, makes connections where there aren’t any (Hayes), and misses pieces (Teddy Roosevelt). That being said I still think there is a good chance we see an large economic shake up and a large war. The factors are there, the middle class basically doesn’t exist anymore and polarization is extremely high. China is headed into a demographic crisis and getting more and more aggressive.

[Guyro]

I like how this video is still realist and has us prepare for the worst, but as a young adult with my whole life ahead of me I still feel very optimistic about my future in this country, I’m optimistic about the intentions of the people in this country, and that a future family of mine could live a good life in this country. I’m not afraid of the future.

[chiefcheddar]

As a middle class American, this video gives me hope, it makes me feel like good things can happen in this time of economic and political turmoil, I know there’s a lot of bad things about to happen, but it’s good to know that history is repeating itself, even with true bad, good things are to come.

[hser]

Just want to make a disclaimer that these ideas about the institutional and socio-economic cycles and the technocracy are not my own ideas.
Also: the GDP number is wrong - it would be around 30%. I'm not sure what I was looking at when making the video.

[Simon-tcmc]

I think the US will overall be stable. We need to just stop focusing on cultural war nonsense and focus on the real issues that we all can agree on.

[Xo-]

America has invested so much into being the global hegemon that its neglected everything else. All the issues internally have come to a boil and externally the hold has begun to loosen. Best case scenario is for the USA to pull back from being the global hegemon. Unfortunately so many nations came to rely on the world as it stands for them to let that happen.

[sliftyy]

correction: the longest war in american history isn't the afghanistan war, it's the seminole war

[unnamedshadow]

I think what makes the American Crisis of the 2020's even more problematic is that the US has become so powerful that its influence has spread all over the world, before the other crises, the US was powerful but not at this level of being almost the ruler of the world.

If they are to suffer a crisis, it wont only be the US, but everyone that is influenced and depends on them.

[NS-ergd]

"America is about to fail"
- *Every country that isn't America for the last 70 years.*

[Jerald_Fitzjerald]

this is the only video that has made me feel optimistic about the future. i already knew we had some hard times ahead of us, but it's good to know that if America makes it through this decade, we'll come out the other side with a better system in every way for the current needs of the majority of people

[haroldiscool]

Lol I was like there’s no way he’s gonna mention how Rutherford B. Hayes saved the US economy after the Panic of 1873. Good job

[hunterphfr]

Raegan talked about lowering government spending. Then he took out the check book and started spending like a drunken sailor, mostly on defense. Then he figured out cutting spending in other areas wasn’t as easy as it sounded. .

[artisticbuilding]

This is literally the only positive future prediction video i've seen in years. I HOPE it's correct, but it seems incredibly oversimplified with the cyclical theories and comparing the 1700s and 2000s as if almost exactly the same

[peterphilips]

I really like this "America of the 2030's" that you're talking about, but I really hope I don't end up as a fatality in a civil war before it comes into full swing.

[PrinceVigilanteX]

Americans, whether you are Democrat, Republican, independent, socialist, anarchist, communist, fascist, etc etc, we are more ultimately divided by class than by political leanings. I guarantee you if you look at polls the majority of Americans support similar situations for like the top 15+ issues in the country.

15 years ago, you could've sat down with someone who opposes you on an economic issue and you probably could've had a civil conversation.

The poor and middle class generally have the same problems. The divide isn't democrat vs republican. The divide is rich versus poor.

Our politicians and the media are funded by the top 1%, the elites, the ultra-rich, and corporations. Because of that, our politicians can't be honest and they can't fight for what the bottom 90% of Americans want and need. Instead, they have to get us to fight amongst ourselves to distract us from the fact that our politicians pretty much only do the bidding of the top 1%. There's a reason why politicians and the media have pivoted to the culture war. More Americans care about economic issues than social ones. So today, the media and politicians have pivoted to talking about trans people and whatever the hell "wokeness" means, rather than addressing stagnant wages, price gouging, healthcare, infrastructure, mass shootings, etc. The solutions to what I just listed would come at the expense of the top 1%. They don't want that. So they pay our politicians and the media to talk about drag queens and "wokeness." Meanwhile, the richest 1% of Americans are paying a lower effective tax rate than the working class.